Starr Quant Lab Desk Research

A-Share · Recap

A-Share Market Recap | 2026-08-04 Tuesday

Tue A-Share Recap · 14 tables Asia/Shanghai

Machine-translated from the Chinese original. In case of any discrepancy, the Chinese version prevails.

Single-name entries

This is a reconciliation report — it carries no single-name score table. Recaps are structured around hit-rate reconciliation, theme verification and next-day outlook.

⚠️ Risk disclaimer (up front): This recap is post-close information review and observation only. It does not constitute investment advice, and contains no ratings, target prices, position sizing or buy/sell recommendations. The terms "delivered / did not deliver", "hit rate" and "stage" used below are research-oriented classifications of the day's public market action, and do not represent any judgement about future returns.

Data-basis disclosure first (please read this section before anything else)

  1. Market-data basis: all figures are 2026-08-04 close data. Index moves and turnover are taken from Sina Finance index quotes; individual-stock price change, turnover rate, traded value and net main-force inflow are taken from Tencent Finance stock quotes; limit-up / failed-limit-up (broken board) / previous-day limit-up pools are taken from East Money; industry moves and industry net inflow are taken from the THS (Tonghuashun) industry-sector basis. Industry net inflow and single-stock net main-force inflow belong to two different bases and cannot be added together directly.
  2. Limit-up thresholds by board: main board ±10%, ChiNext / STAR Market ±20%, Beijing Stock Exchange ±30%. Every stock in this report is tagged with its board.
  3. Reconciliation baseline (the most important methodological statement in this report): today was a broad-based rally day — of 5204 A-shares, 3406 rose and 1664 fell, with a median gain of +1.00%. Therefore "the stock went up" does not equal "the pre-market call was right". This report uses three tiers throughout: delivered = limit-up or gain ≥5%; flat = +1.00% to +5%; did not deliver = <+1.00% (failed to beat the broad-rally baseline). Only with this yardstick can "leading the main theme" be separated from "riding the tide".
  4. Items not obtained, marked "no reliable data":
    • Northbound single-day net flow: the exchanges stopped disclosing single-day net buy figures from August 2024; the interface returns net buy = 0, so this report makes no statement about northbound direction.
    • Today's Dragon-Tiger List (LHB): cut-off time was 15:42 and the Dragon-Tiger List had not yet been published for the day, so the Dragon-Tiger List part of Section 5 is left blank — yesterday's data is not substituted in.
    • Two-market turnover sequential change: combined turnover of the two markets today was RMB 2.2136 trillion (Shanghai RMB 1.0084 trillion + Shenzhen RMB 1.2052 trillion), measured directly; but the turnover-value data on the previous trading day's basis was not obtained this time, so only the share-volume sequential change is given (Shanghai +3.0%, Shenzhen +7.4%), and no turnover-value sequential change is given.
  5. One data-source defect that must be flagged: 高争民爆 (Gaozheng Explosive, 002827, main board) closed today at RMB 41.87, up +10.01%, with the close equal to the limit-up price — in fact its 5th consecutive limit-up; but East Money's limit-up pool does not include this stock (it was classified into the broken-board pool, having broken the board 26 times intraday before sealing again into the close). The limit-up total and the highest consecutive-limit-up height in this report have both been manually corrected to include this stock, so results will differ by 1 stock from a direct API call.
  6. One naming-basis note: 601567 is disclosed by the exchange as "三星医疗" (Sanxing Medical), while the quote source shows "三星电气" (Sanxing Electric); this report follows the exchange's naming.

⚠️ Data-fetch failures and implementation details for this run (internal only):

  • East Money's full-market quote endpoint stock_zh_a_spot_em returned RemoteDisconnected for the third consecutive trading day (already logged on the 8/3 pre-market and 8/3 recap runs); all 6 retries failed, so we switched to Tencent's stock_zh_a_spot_tx (5536 records, includes the zljlr net-main-force-inflow field, verified usable). Recommend promoting the Tencent source to the default primary and demoting East Money to backup — three straight days of breakage is not an isolated incident.
  • East Money's sector endpoints all failed: stock_board_industry_name_em = RemoteDisconnected, stock_board_concept_name_em = HTTP 502. Switched to THS stock_board_industry_summary_ths (90 industries, includes net inflow, usable).
  • stock_board_concept_summary_ths returns a historical "concept-driving events" table (dates going back to 2024), not the day's concept gain/loss ranking; there is no price-change column in its fields at all, and the first call raised IndexError directly. This endpoint name is misleading — do not use it as a concept ranking again.
  • stock_zh_index_spot_em / index_zh_a_hist also failed on the East Money source; indices were switched to Sina's stock_zh_index_spot_sina (measured total matches the aggregated Tencent single-stock turnover of RMB 2.2136 trillion exactly — cross-validation passed).
  • Dragon-Tiger List: stock_lhb_detail_em(20260804) returned None (4 retries); this is in fact not yet disclosed by the exchange (cut-off 15:42, the Dragon-Tiger List is usually published after 18:00), not an endpoint failure. The backup channel stock_lhb_detail_daily_sina raised KeyError('股票代码') — its field structure has changed, so this backup path is dead and needs rewriting. This report truthfully leaves it blank.
  • East Money's limit-up pool missed 高争民爆 (Gaozheng Explosive, 002827): the stock closed at 41.87 = limit-up price 41.87, up 10.01%, yet appeared only in the broken-board pool (26 board breaks). Reporting the limit-up count straight from the row count of stock_zt_pool_em would undercount by 1 stock and would drop the highest consecutive-limit-up height from 5 boards to 4. Manually corrected. This is a textbook case of "API basis ≠ fact"; limit-up-count data must in future be cross-checked against the broken-board pool.
  • Turnover-value sequential change not obtained: Sina's index daily bars give only volume (shares), not amount, and the amount field in Tencent's daily bars is actually volume (lots) rather than value — after two cross-validations the unit was confirmed not to be value, so the turnover-value sequential change was abandoned and only the volume sequential change is given. We nearly wrote it up as a value figure based on the literal meaning of "amount" — a classic basis trap.
  • Self-record on the main-theme call: this recap's conclusions are heavily negative on yesterday's pre-market report. What needs remembering is this — the pre-market run spent 97% of its analysis budget on word-frequency statistics of one policy PDF, while the two catalysts that actually ignited today (WuXi AppTec's interim report, NVIDIA's Vera Rubin / optical modules) were sitting right there in rows 7 and 2 of the pre-market Section 1 news table, only to be graded A and "multi-branch" and never unpacked further. This is not missing information; it is misallocated analytical resources. Tomorrow morning's pre-market run must first do a "line-by-line breakdown of evening announcements", and only then the policy deep-dive.

0. One-Sentence Recap

Today's sentiment temperature: euphoric (139 limit-ups, 0 limit-downs, broken-board rate of only 9.2%, 848 stocks up more than 5%); the strongest main theme is 【 AI compute hardware 】 — optical modules/CPO + PCB/copper-clad laminate + semiconductors all exploded on three legs at once, compounded by 【 CRO / innovative drugs 】 ignited by the better-than-expected interim report from 药明康德 (WuXi AppTec, 603259, main board); meanwhile 【 distribution grid / pumped-storage hydro / UHV 】, the bets on yesterday's pre-market list, went collectively silent on the first trading day after the policy document was made public — the grid equipment sector rose only 2.03% with net capital outflow of RMB 144 million. None of the pre-market Top 5 recommendations delivered (0/5); the core large-caps 国电南瑞 (NARI Technology, 600406, main board) closed −0.40% and 中国电建 (PowerChina, 601669, main board) closed −1.01%. Tomorrow's tone: the AI hardware main theme is in its start-up acceleration phase but the single-day gain is too large, so watch for a gap-up split; the grid line is downgraded to "policy already priced in, needs a pullback for confirmation".

One-sentence self-critique: the pre-market report's biggest problem was not wrong data but treating "what the document says" as "what the market will trade" — it even listed WuXi AppTec's interim report and the three big cloud vendors all rising 5% in its own news table, yet its "S-grade policy is the only one" framework flattened both into supporting roles.


1. Market Overview

1.1 Indices and Turnover

Index Close Change Change % Traded value
Shanghai Composite 3822.28 +12.62 +0.33% RMB 1,008.4 bn
Shenzhen Component 13885.71 +437.42 +3.25% RMB 1,205.2 bn
ChiNext Index 3488.97 +186.41 +5.65% RMB 601.6 bn
STAR 50 1616.36 +63.47 +4.09% RMB 126.5 bn
CSI 300 4600.93 +57.75 +1.27% RMB 698.8 bn
SSE 50 2878.67 −8.39 −0.29% RMB 195.1 bn
CSI 500 7607.49 +192.96 +2.60% RMB 443.8 bn
CSI 1000 7279.19 +199.42 +2.82% RMB 434.3 bn
  • Combined turnover of the two markets was RMB 2.2136 trillion. On a volume basis it expanded sequentially: Shanghai +3.0%, Shenzhen +7.4% (turnover-value sequential change not obtained, see item 4 of the data-basis note).
  • Today's most important structural signal is "SSE 50 −0.29% vs ChiNext Index +5.65%", a gap of 5.94 percentage points. This is a textbook high-to-low rotation: capital rotating wholesale out of large-cap value (banks, insurance, baijiu, utilities) into growth (AI hardware, semiconductors, pharma). The Shanghai Composite rose only 0.33%, which does not mean today was a weak day — it is because the heavyweights were being sold.

1.2 Advance/Decline and Sentiment

Item Value Note
All A-shares up / down / flat 3406 / 1664 / 134 sample of 5204 stocks
Median gain +1.00% the reconciliation baseline of this report
Mean gain +1.92% above the median, indicating gains concentrated at the top
Up more than 5% 848 stocks clear money-making effect
Down more than 5% 7 stocks money-losing effect nearly gone
Limit-ups 139 main board 123, ChiNext 12, STAR 3, BSE 1 (including the manually restored 高争民爆 002827)
Limit-downs 0
Broken boards 14 153 stocks touched limit-up, 139 held it into the close
Broken-board rate about 9.2% on the low side, board-sealing quality is good
Highest consecutive limit-ups 7 boards (传智教育 Chuanzhi Education 003032, main board) next highest 5 boards (高争民爆 002827, main board)
Yesterday's limit-up stocks today mean +4.77%, median +4.39%, 62 up 12 down strong appetite to carry the baton
Promotion rate of yesterday's limit-ups today 26.7% (20/75) first-board promotion is on the low side, but the consecutive-board tier promoted at 52.9% (9/17)

Sentiment temperature verdict: euphoric. The basis is four conditions holding at once — 139 limit-ups with 0 limit-downs, a broken-board rate of only 9.2%, 848 stocks up more than 5% versus only 7 down more than 5%, and yesterday's limit-up stocks still averaging +4.77% today. But one hedge must be recorded alongside: the euphoria sits not in yesterday's consecutive-board tier but in the institutional names that started moving today (large-cap names like Innolight and WuXi AppTec hitting limit-up / rising sharply). This is a different kind of euphoria from a "hot-money consecutive-board sentiment climax", and its ebb rhythm is different too.


2. Reconciliation of the Pre-Market List

Reconciliation baseline: median gain of all A-shares +1.00%. Delivered = limit-up or ≥5%; flat = +1.00% to +5%; did not deliver = <+1.00%.

2.1 Pre-market Section 9.1 "The 5 main-board stocks most worth watching today"

Rank Stock Pre-market conclusion Today's change % Limit-up / broken board? Delivered? Comment
1 国电南瑞 (NARI Technology, 600406) main board priority deep-dive −0.40% no did not deliver The pre-market note called it "the direction the document really points to + valuation not overextended", and set "can turnover rate expand from 1.24%" as the confirmation point. Actual turnover rate was 0.93%, lower than yesterday, and it closed down — the confirmation point returned an unambiguous no. The core large-cap failing to rise on the first day of policy implementation is the hardest disconfirmation in this report
2 许继电气 (XJ Electric, 000400) main board priority deep-dive +0.80% no did not deliver The converter-valve logic was not traded at all today. Traded value RMB 742 million, net main-force outflow RMB 5.96 million. The pre-market confirmation point "can it break out on volume above the 7/23 tender-award announcement day" was answered no
3 东方电气 (Dongfang Electric, 600875) main board watch closely +3.10% no flat Beat the median but lagged the Shenzhen Component (+3.25%). The "gap up then fade" the pre-market feared did not happen; traded value of RMB 3.077 billion versus RMB 2.548 billion yesterday kept expanding — the best-performing core large-cap in the power line
4 平高电气 (Pinggao Electric, 600312) main board watch closely +1.59% no flat (barely) Net main-force outflow RMB 39.14 million. The pre-market question "can it gap up 2-4% and then strengthen on volume" was answered no
5 中国电建 (PowerChina, 601669) main board watch closely (grade C) −1.01% no did not deliver The pre-market note made it "the leading signal for the pumped-storage branch spreading". Turnover rate 0.98%, essentially unchanged from yesterday's 0.95%, and it closed down — the leading signal told us plainly: pumped storage did not spread

Top 5 hit rate: delivered 0/5 = 0%; beat the broad-rally baseline (+1.00%) 2/5 = 40%. This is a failing recommendation list, and the failures are concentrated in the two highest-ranked names (both #1 and #2 lagged the baseline) — the ranking direction is negatively correlated with actual performance, which is worse than merely "weak overall".

2.2 Remaining names on the pre-market Section 3 master list

Stock Pre-market conclusion Today's change % Limit-up / broken board Delivered Comment
四方股份 (Sifang Automation, 601126) main board watch closely (#5 on master list) +10.00% limit-up (1st board, broke the board once intraday) delivered The only positively-recommended name on the whole list to hit limit-up. Turnover rate only 2.52%, traded value RMB 846 million, net main-force inflow RMB 205 million — healthy board-sealing quality. The pre-market rationale "#2 in relay protection at 14.7%, growth better than the leader, only +0.84% on 8/3 so not yet started" held up completely — "low position + not yet started" proved more effective than "leadership status"
中国西电 (China XD Electric, 601179) main board watch only +3.31% no flat (avoidance was too conservative) The pre-market note rejected it on its valuation percentile; today it beat both Pinggao (+1.59%) and XJ (+0.80%). A high valuation percentile does not mean it won't rise on the day — this rejection rationale is invalid on an intraday horizon
东方电子 (Dongfang Electronics, 000682) main board watch closely +1.78% no ○ flat Turnover rate 1.92%, not yet started
浙富控股 (Zhefu Holding, 002266) main board watch closely +2.53% no ○ flat
三星医疗 (Sanxing Medical, 601567) main board watch only −3.00% no avoidance correct The pre-market judgement "the first move is already out, poor position for the relay" was accurate; the largest decliner in the power chain
特变电工 (TBEA, 600089) main board watch only 0.00% no ✅ avoidance correct The pre-market "both lines are diluted" held
中国能建 (China Energy Engineering, 601868) main board watch only −0.38% no ✅ avoidance correct
通威股份 (Tongwei, 600438) main board watch only −0.08% no avoidance correct The pre-market report used five independent pieces of evidence (interim results pre-announcement, limit-up on reduced positions, futures-spot divergence, cost line, the December 2025 counter-example) to reject the solar anti-involution narrative, and today it played out exactly. This is the highest-quality single judgement in this report. 福莱特 (Flat Glass Group, 601865, main board) +0.18% was equally silent
中国核电 (China National Nuclear Power, 601985) main board Pass −1.11% no ✅ avoidance correct The pre-market "the target is not new and is already covered by the 125 million kW pipeline" held; closed green for a second straight day
中国国航 (Air China, 601111) main board watch only −1.93% no ✅ avoidance correct See the directional self-critique in 2.4
中国海油 (CNOOC, 600938) main board Pass −0.91% no ✅ avoidance correct
思源电气 (Sieyuan Electric, 002028) main board watch only (weak price action) −1.02% no ✅ avoidance correct
长江电力 (China Yangtze Power, 600900) main board watch only −2.58% no ✅ avoidance correct Net main-force outflow RMB 450 million — a textbook victim of the high-to-low rotation
保变电气 (Baobian Electric, 600550) main board watch only +0.91% no ✅ avoidance correct
白云电器 (Baiyun Electric, 603861) main board watch only +1.49% no ○ flat
兆易创新 (GigaDevice, 603986) main board watch only +4.48% no ⚠️ avoidance somewhat wrong The pre-market note said "the selloff has not bottomed, a bounce ≠ a reversal". In fact it bounced 4.48%, with traded value of RMB 22.166 billion and net main-force inflow of RMB 1.595 billion, ranking 8th market-wide. The direction of the judgement was wrong
德明利 (Demingli Electronics, 001309) main board watch only +4.35% no ⚠️ avoidance somewhat wrong Same as above
中国核建 (China Nuclear Engineering, 601611) main board watch only +4.39% no ⚠️ avoidance somewhat wrong Failed to make a 2nd consecutive board but still rose 4.39%, net main-force outflow RMB 201 million
顺钠股份 (Shunna Electric, 000533) main board Pass (high-level second wave) +10.04% limit-up (2nd board, 6 boards in 9 days) avoidance wrong Turnover rate 20.00%, traded value RMB 1.674 billion. The pre-market note Passed on it citing "5 boards in 8 days + turnover rate 16.88% + no tender-award disclosure", but high-level names keep running on a euphoric-sentiment day. The judgement was about "risk"; what the market traded was "sentiment"
风范股份 (Fengfan Power Equipment, 601700) main board Pass (low-level tracking) +10.04% limit-up (2nd board) avoidance wrong The pre-market rationale was "tender award of only RMB 149 million, PE −19.38 loss-making" — the fundamental rationale is correct, but it is precisely a low-position, loss-making, small-cap name, exactly the type most easily ramped on a sentiment day
百利电气 (Baili Electric, 600468) main board Pass (watch whether it makes another board) +8.04% no (did not hit limit-up; limit price 6.84, closed 6.72) ❌ avoidance wrong Turnover rate 10.86%, failed to make a 2nd consecutive board
北京科锐 (Beijing Creative Distribution Automation, 002350) main board Pass (PE 382) +6.72% no ❌ avoidance wrong
华电辽能 (Huadian Liaoning Energy, 600396) main board Pass (PE 563.29) +5.54% no ⚠️ avoidance somewhat wrong, but the rationale was confirmed The 5.54% gain makes the avoidance a miss, but net main-force outflow of RMB 507 million ranked 7th market-wide — price up, money out; the pre-market qualitative call "valuation has no fundamental support" was confirmed on the capital-flow level
长缆科技 (Changlan Technology, 002879) main board Pass (high-level second wave) +4.92% no ⚠️ avoidance somewhat wrong Turnover rate 31.90%, among the highest in the whole market; net main-force outflow RMB 55.84 million
江苏神通 (Jiangsu Shentong Valve, 002438) main board Pass +3.79% no ⚠️ avoidance somewhat wrong Net main-force outflow RMB 67.85 million
融发核电 (Rongfa Nuclear Power, 002366) main board Pass (loss-making) +2.06% no ○ flat Net main-force outflow RMB 126 million
中超控股 (Zhongchao Holding, 002471) main board Pass (sentiment indicator) +1.76% no ○ flat
乐山电力 (Leshan Electric Power, 600644) main board Pass (PE 266.88) +1.36% no ✅ avoidance correct (lagged)
涪陵电力 (Fuling Electric Power, 600452) main board Pass (restatement of an old target) −0.50% no avoidance correct The pre-market point "the 2030 target is identical to the March 2025 guiding opinion" held
生益科技 (Shengyi Technology, 600183) main board Pass ("mistaken association") +10.00% limit-up avoidance wrong (but the classification was right) The single most memorable entry in this report — see the dedicated self-critique below
高乐股份 (Guangdong Gaole, 002348) main board Pass (PE −234.73) +9.98% one-line limit-up ❌ avoidance wrong (but untradeable) Traded value only RMB 72 million, turnover rate 0.72%a one-line board with no volume; Pass or not makes no difference at the trading level. The pre-market fundamental judgement "the 5-year contract adds only about RMB 200 million to 2026 revenue" still holds
中微公司 (AMEC, 688012) STAR Market watch, not a primary pick +2.55% no ○ flat The pre-market basis correction "ex-non-recurring is only +85.6~122.7%, the headline is inflated by RMB 1.982 billion of investment income" was right
中际旭创 (Innolight, 300308) ChiNext watch, not a primary pick +13.24% no the biggest one that got away Traded value RMB 49.790 billion, #1 market-wide; net main-force inflow RMB 5.068 billion, #1 market-wide. The pre-market report placed it in branch 5 and excluded it from the recommendations as "not main board"
盛弘股份 (Sinexcel, 300693) ChiNext watch, not a primary pick +3.65% no ○ flat
阳光电源 (Sungrow, 300274) ChiNext watch, not a primary pick +2.51% no ○ flat
特锐德 (TGOOD, 300001) ChiNext watch, not a primary pick +1.63% no ○ flat
南方航空 (China Southern Airlines, 600029) main board branch representative −1.52% no ✅ avoidance correct
中国东航 (China Eastern Airlines, 600115) main board branch representative −1.86% no ✅ avoidance correct
亨通光电 (Hengtong Optic-Electric, 600487) main board branch representative (branch 5) +6.12% no delivered Traded value RMB 11.177 billion, net main-force inflow RMB 750 million
中天科技 (Zhongtian Technology, 600522) main board branch representative (branch 5) +5.46% no delivered Traded value RMB 7.122 billion, net main-force inflow RMB 538 million
科华数据 (Kehua Data, 002335) main board branch representative (branch 11) +5.26% no ✅ delivered
万马股份 (Wanma Technology, 002276) main board branch representative (branch 6) −0.56% no did not deliver
科士达 (Kstar, 002518) main board branch representative (branch 6) +3.65% no ○ flat

2.3 Hit-Rate Summary

Basis Numerator/Denominator Hit rate
Section 9.1 Top 5 recommendations — delivered (limit-up or ≥5%) 0 / 5 0%
Section 9.1 Top 5 recommendations — beat the broad-rally baseline (+1.00%) 2 / 5 40%
Section 3 "priority deep-dive + watch closely" main-board 8 names — limit-up 1 / 8 12.5%
Section 3 "priority deep-dive + watch closely" main-board 8 names — beat the baseline 5 / 8 62.5%
Avoidance list (watch only + Pass, 30 main-board names) — avoidance correct (<+1.00%) 13 / 30 43.3%
Avoidance list — avoidance wrong (limit-up or ≥5%) 7 / 30 23.3%
Avoidance list — neutral (+1.00% to +5%) 10 / 30 33.3%

One-sentence conclusion: the pre-market list was clearly stronger at "avoiding" than at "recommending". An avoidance-correct rate of 43.3% against an avoidance-wrong rate of 23.3% is close to 2:1, while the delivery rate of the positive Top 5 recommendations was 0. The real value of the pre-market report today lay in telling people what not to buy (Tongwei, Sanxing Medical, China National Nuclear Power and China Yangtze Power all played out), not in what it suggested watching.

2.4 Self-Critique: What Was Called Right, What Was Called Wrong, and How to Fix It Tomorrow Morning

① What was called right was "disconfirming judgements"; what was called wrong was "narrative judgements". Everywhere the pre-market report used first-hand financial evidence to negate a popular narrative, it was right today: 通威股份 (Tongwei, 600438, main board) interim pre-announcement rejecting the solar anti-involution narrative (−0.08% today), 中国核电 (China National Nuclear Power, 601985, main board) "110 million kW is not a new number" (−1.11%), 涪陵电力 (Fuling Electric Power, 600452, main board) "restatement of an old target" (−0.50%), 三星医疗 (Sanxing Medical, 601567, main board) "the first move is already out" (−3.00%). Everywhere it derived "where capital should go" from a policy text, it was wrong today: the core large-caps of both the S-grade distribution-grid branch and the A+-grade pumped-storage branch lagged the baseline. Lesson: text analysis is good at excluding, not at selecting. Word-frequency statistics can tell you "UHV is not the focus of this document" (and that was not disconfirmed today either — the UHV large-caps Pinggao, XD and TBEA all failed to hit limit-up), but it cannot derive "therefore capital will go to the distribution grid".

② The biggest methodological error: using "main board first" as an exclusion filter rather than a screening filter. Today's strongest line had its leading core almost entirely on ChiNext — 中际旭创 (Innolight, 300308, ChiNext) +13.24%, 新易盛 (Eoptolink, 300502, ChiNext) +13.68%, 天孚通信 (T&S Communications, 300394, ChiNext) +17.45%. The pre-market report listed AI compute as branch 5 and marked it "not a primary pick" because it was "not main board". The point of "main board first" is to control trading-attribute risk, not to black out the pricing signal of an entire main theme. The fix: branch-strength ranking must be assessed market-wide (including ChiNext / STAR), with main-board-first applied only at the final stock-list level; and at the same time every non-main-board main theme should get a main-board mapped name added — today's main-board mappings for this line (亨通光电 Hengtong Optic-Electric 600487 +6.12%, 中天科技 Zhongtian Technology 600522 +5.46%, 生益科技 Shengyi Technology 600183 limit-up, 东山精密 Dongshan Precision 002384 limit-up) were all tradeable and all delivered, and the pre-market report did write all of them into the branch representatives, yet not one made the Top 5.

③ The most glaring point: the catalyst was in our own news table and never unpacked. Row 7 of the pre-market Section 1 news table read "Summary of the evening announcements of August 3: AMEC pre-announces growth, WuXi AppTec interim report, Gaole large compute order…", graded A, with the branch field filled in as "multi-branch". Today 药明康德 (WuXi AppTec, 603259, main board) sealed the limit-up, with traded value of RMB 10.502 billion and net main-force inflow of RMB 1.833 billion, igniting the whole CRO / innovative-drug line single-handedly. And its interim figures (H1 revenue RMB 28.897 billion +38.93%, net profit attributable to parent RMB 11.080 billion +29.43%, full-year revenue guidance raised from RMB 51.3-53.0 billion to RMB 58.5-60.5 billion) were already public at the pre-market cut-off. The pre-market report compressed a disclosed, quantifiable, guidance-raising company-level catalyst into four characters in a summary table. The fix: tomorrow morning's pre-market run must first do a "line-by-line breakdown of evening announcements" (especially interim reports / results pre-announcements / guidance raises), grading each one separately, and only then do the policy deep-dive. With the order reversed, the budget gets misallocated.

④ 生益科技 (Shengyi Technology, 600183, main board) deserves its own entry: the classification judgement was right, the trading conclusion was wrong. The pre-market report put it on the Pass list, on the grounds that "the company's main business is copper-clad laminate / electronic materials, not memory chips, with no direct transmission from memory price increases — a textbook case of concept ≠ beneficiary". That classification judgement was entirely correct: it hit limit-up today, and indeed not as a memory stock, but as a PCB / copper-clad laminate name within the AI server hardware chain (the THS "components" sector rose +7.07%, with 63 gainers and 0 decliners). But the conclusion was wrong: the pre-market report only proved "it does not belong to narrative A" and then casually Passed on it, without asking one more question: "then which narrative does it belong to, and how strong is that narrative?" The fix: when Passing on a stock, "it does not belong to X" can only imply "do not buy it for X's reasons", not "do not watch it". After rejecting one attribution, a positive attribution must be done as a follow-up. This is the most expensive and the most reusable lesson in this report.

⑤ One mechanism that was validated and should be kept. The pre-market Section 8.3 wrote one signal: "blocked by a stronger stock: if the memory oversold bounce (GigaDevice) runs stronger than power equipment, capital is rotating the main theme." Today 兆易创新 (GigaDevice, 603986, main board) +4.48% versus 平高电气 (Pinggao Electric, 600312, main board) +1.59% — this signal triggered accurately. The problem is not that the signal wasn't designed, but that nothing happened after it triggered. Tomorrow morning's pre-market run should upgrade this class of "main-theme disconfirmation signal" from descriptive prose into entries with prescribed actions (trigger → downgrade that branch's strength that day).


3. Verification of Today's Main Theme

3.1 Line-by-Line Reconciliation of the Pre-Market Branches

Pre-market rank Branch Pre-market strength Actual performance today Limit-up tier Stage Conclusion
1 Distribution grid / transmission-distribution-microgrid coordination S Grid equipment sector +2.03%, net capital outflow RMB 144 million; core large-caps all dead: 国电南瑞 (NARI Technology, 600406, main board) −0.40%, 许继电气 (XJ Electric, 000400, main board) +0.80%, 东方电子 (Dongfang Electronics, 000682, main board) +1.78%, 三星医疗 (Sanxing Medical, 601567, main board) −3.00% 6 limit-ups but structurally dislocated: 四方股份 (Sifang Automation, 601126, main board), 顺钠股份 (Shunna Electric, 000533, main board), 风范股份 (Fengfan Power Equipment, 601700, main board), 信通电子 (Xintong Electronics, 001388, main board), 宝光股份 (Baoguang, 600379, main board), 华盛昌 (CEM, 002980, main board) split ⚠️ Downgraded to B. Core large-caps did not rise on the first day of policy publication and the sector saw net outflow; the "first pricing day" hypothesis is rejected
2 Pumped-storage hydro A+ 东方电气 (Dongfang Electric, 600875, main board) +3.10%, 中国电建 (PowerChina, 601669, main board) −1.01%, 浙富控股 (Zhefu Holding, 002266, main board) +2.53%, 中国能建 (China Energy Engineering, 601868, main board) −0.38%; zero limit-ups across the whole branch none not started / silent ⚠️ Downgraded to B−. The diffusion leading signal set in the pre-market report (PowerChina turnover-rate expansion) clearly did not trigger
3 UHV / trunk grid equipment A 平高电气 (Pinggao Electric, 600312, main board) +1.59%, 中国西电 (China XD Electric, 601179, main board) +3.31%, 特变电工 (TBEA, 600089, main board) 0.00% — none of the three core large-caps hit limit-up The limit-ups were all second- and third-tier names: 顺钠股份 (000533), 风范股份 (601700) second/third-tier catch-up amid an ebbing tide ⚠️ Downgraded to C+. The pre-market warning about "mismatched rationale" held: the market neither bought the distribution grid per the document nor pushed the UHV core large-caps up
4 Back-to-back DC / flexible DC A− 许继电气 (XJ Electric, 000400, main board) +0.80% none silent Downgraded to C
5 AI compute / AIDC A (not a primary pick) 中际旭创 (Innolight, 300308, ChiNext) +13.24% (traded value RMB 49.790 bn, #1 market-wide), 亨通光电 (Hengtong Optic-Electric, 600487, main board) +6.12%, 中天科技 (Zhongtian Technology, 600522, main board) +5.46%; communication equipment sector +5.40%, net inflow RMB 16.114 bn 光迅科技 (Accelink, 002281, main board), 剑桥科技 (CIG, 603083, main board), 光库科技 (Advanced Fiber Resources, 300620, ChiNext) +20%, etc. start-up acceleration phase Branch called right, ranking called wrong. Should be raised to S
6 Vehicle-to-grid / EV charging B+ XJ Electric +0.80%, 万马股份 (Wanma Technology, 002276, main board) −0.56%, 科士达 (Kstar, 002518, main board) +3.65%, 特锐德 (TGOOD, 300001, ChiNext) +1.63% none silent Downgraded to C
7 Memory oversold bounce B+ (watch only) 兆易创新 (GigaDevice, 603986, main board) +4.48%, 德明利 (Demingli, 001309, main board) +4.35%, 生益科技 (Shengyi Technology, 600183, main board) +10.00% limit-up 生益科技 (600183) reversal confirmed, not a one-day bounce ⚠️ Called backwards. The pre-market "the selloff has not bottomed" was wrong
8 Solar anti-involution / polysilicon B+ (already disconfirmed) 通威股份 (Tongwei, 600438, main board) −0.08%, TBEA 0.00%, 福莱特 (Flat Glass Group, 601865, main board) +0.18% none ebbing Judgement entirely correct, the best in this report
9 Airlines (beneficiaries of the crude oil crash) B 中国国航 (Air China, 601111, main board) −1.93%, 南方航空 (China Southern Airlines, 600029, main board) −1.52%, 中国东航 (China Eastern Airlines, 600115, main board) −1.86%; airports & shipping sector −1.55% none not started ✅ The pre-market report already noted "A-shares did not trade this line at all yesterday"; avoidance correct
10 Nuclear power B− 中国核电 (China National Nuclear Power, 601985, main board) −1.11%, 中国核建 (China Nuclear Engineering, 601611, main board) +4.39%, 江苏神通 (Jiangsu Shentong Valve, 002438, main board) +3.79% none split, ebbing ✅ The operator-side judgement was right; the engineering side was too conservative
11 New-type energy storage B− 科华数据 (Kehua Data, 002335, main board) +5.26%, 盛弘股份 (Sinexcel, 300693, ChiNext) +3.65% none flat
12 Virtual power plants C 东方电子 (Dongfang Electronics, 000682, main board) +1.78%, 涪陵电力 (Fuling Electric Power, 600452, main board) −0.50% none silent ✅ Judgement correct

3.2 Did the Pre-Market Report Call the Strongest Main Theme Correctly?

No. The strongest main theme given pre-market was 【 distribution grid / transmission-distribution-microgrid coordination 】 (grade S, the only one); today's actual strongest main theme was 【 AI compute hardware 】.

Quantifying the gap on the THS industry basis:

Industry Change % Net inflow (RMB bn) Gainers/Decliners
Components +7.07% +6.507 63 / 0
Electronic Chemicals +6.57% +3.164 43 / 0
Semiconductors +6.01% +23.368 178 / 5
Medical Services +5.54% −0.839 48 / 6
Communication Equipment +5.40% +16.114 88 / 3
……
Grid Equipment (the pre-market S-grade branch) +2.03% −0.144 109 / 27
Power +0.20% −3.402 43 / 60
Banks −2.69% −8.045 0 / 42
Insurance −2.46% −2.968 0 / 5
Baijiu −1.34% −1.968 1 / 18

Grid equipment ranks mid-pack among the 90 industries, and is the only watch-closely branch that "rose yet saw net outflow".

3.3 Unexpected Main Themes the Pre-Market Report Missed Entirely

① Optical modules / CPO / optical communications — today's absolute core

  • 中际旭创 (Innolight, 300308, ChiNext) +13.24%, traded value RMB 49.790 billion (#1 market-wide), net main-force inflow RMB 5.068 billion (#1 market-wide)
  • 新易盛 (Eoptolink, 300502, ChiNext) +13.68%, traded value RMB 29.914 billion; 天孚通信 (T&S Communications, 300394, ChiNext) +17.45%, traded value RMB 15.873 billion
  • Main-board mappings: 光迅科技 (Accelink, 002281) limit-up, 剑桥科技 (CIG, 603083) limit-up, 永鼎股份 (Yongding, 600105) limit-up (net main-force inflow RMB 1.669 billion), 亨通光电 (Hengtong Optic-Electric, 600487) +6.12%, 中天科技 (Zhongtian Technology, 600522) +5.46%
  • Catalyst: NVIDIA released the Vera Rubin platform and the Spectrum-6 switching system, driving silicon-photonics penetration, with 800G/1.6T optical module demand continuing; Nomura raised its 2026-2028 revenue and profit forecasts for Innolight. (Securities Times, East Money)
  • The pre-market report did in fact catch the overseas signal (news-table item 2: Microsoft/Amazon/Google all up 5%; item 6: Morgan Stanley raised cloud capex to USD 1.2 trillion), but graded it A, placed it in branch 5, and did not make it a primary pick because it was not main board.

② PCB / copper-clad laminate / components — the sub-sector with the most limit-ups

  • Components sector +7.07%, 63 gainers and 0 decliners (the only industry with zero decliners)
  • Limit-ups: 东山精密 (Dongshan Precision, 002384, main board) traded value RMB 15.329 billion, 沪电股份 (WUS Printed Circuit, 002463, main board), 深南电路 (Shennan Circuits, 002916, main board), 生益科技 (Shengyi Technology, 600183, main board), 鹏鼎控股 (Avary Holding, 002938, main board), 红板科技 (Redboard Technology, 603459, main board), 华正新材 (Huazheng New Material, 603186, main board), 江海股份 (Jianghai Capacitor, 002484, main board), 中京电子 (Zhongjing Electron, 002579, main board)
  • ⚠️ Basis reminder: THS shows the components sector's leading gainer as "嘉立创 (JLC) +146.28%", but N 嘉立创 (JLC, 001232, main board) is a new listing whose first trading day is today; its gain does not reflect pricing by existing capital and should not be used as evidence of sector strength.

③ CRO / innovative drugs — ignited by a single interim report

  • 药明康德 (WuXi AppTec, 603259, main board) limit-up +10.00%, traded value RMB 10.502 billion, net main-force inflow RMB 1.833 billion, sealed again after breaking the board 6 times intraday
  • Limit-up alongside it: 凯莱英 (Asymchem, 002821, main board), 普洛药业 (Apeloa Pharmaceutical, 000739, main board), 创新医疗 (Innovative Medical, 002173, main board), 双成药业 (Shuangcheng Pharmaceutical, 002693, main board), 罗欣药业 (Luoxin Pharmaceutical, 002793, main board), 哈三联 (Harbin Sanlian, 002900, main board), 百花医药 (Baihua Medical, 600721, main board), 珍宝岛 (Zhenbaodao Pharmaceutical, 603567, main board), 贝瑞基因 (Berry Genomics, 000710, main board), 济民健康 (Jimin Health, 603222, main board), 义翘神州 (Sino Biological, 301047, ChiNext) +20%
  • Catalyst: WuXi AppTec disclosed its 2026 interim report on the evening of August 3 — H1 revenue RMB 28.897 billion (+38.93%), net profit attributable to parent RMB 11.080 billion (+29.43%, first time above RMB 10 billion in a first half), Q2 single-quarter revenue RMB 16.462 billion (+47.71%); full-year revenue guidance raised from RMB 51.3-53.0 billion to RMB 58.5-60.5 billion. (Sina Finance, East Money)
  • ⚠️ The pre-market directional call on pharma was backwards: news-table item 19 labelled pharma "bearish-leaning" (on the basis of the centralized-procurement selection announcement + AstraZeneca down 9% in London), grade C. Today the medical services sector rose +5.54%, the 4th strongest industry market-wide.

④ Semiconductors

  • Sector +6.01%, net inflow RMB 23.368 billion (#1 across all industries); 和林微纳 (Helin Micro-Nano, 688661, STAR Market) +20%, 金海通 (Jinhaitong, 603061, main board) limit-up, 长电科技 (JCET, 600584, main board) +7.23%, 北方华创 (Naura, 002371, main board) +7.13%, 澜起科技 (Montage Technology, 688008, STAR Market) +7.01%

4. Limit-Up Tiers / Board Heights

4.1 Consecutive-Limit-Up Tiers

Height Count Stocks (with sector)
7 boards 1 传智教育 (Chuanzhi Education, 003032, main board, education) +10.01%, traded value RMB 315 million, turnover rate 10.40%, seal order RMB 151 million
5 boards 1 高争民爆 (Gaozheng Explosive, 002827, main board, chemicals) +10.01%, traded value RMB 2.402 billion, turnover rate 21.20%, broke the board 26 times intraday before sealing again into the close (⚠️ not included in East Money's limit-up pool, see item 5 of the data-basis note)
4 boards 1 神雾节能 (Shenwu Energy Saving, 000820, main board, environmental equipment) +10.08%, turnover rate 32.30%
3 boards 6 天娱数科 (Tianyu Digital, 002354, main board, advertising & marketing, traded value RMB 3.737 bn / turnover rate 30.69%), 美利云 (Meiliyun, 000815, main board, IT services), 新能股份 (Xinneng Power, 000595, main board, power), 恒银科技 (Hengyin Technology, 603106, main board, computer hardware), 德龙汇能 (Delong Huineng, 000593, main board, gas), 豪尔赛 (Haoersai Technology, 002963, main board, decoration)
2 boards 11 including 顺钠股份 (Shunna Electric, 000533, main board, grid equipment), 风范股份 (Fengfan Power Equipment, 601700, main board, grid equipment), 达实智能 (Das Intellitech, 002421, main board), 欣天科技 (Xintian Technology, 300615, ChiNext) +20.04%, 通宇通讯 (Tongyu Communication, 002792, main board), etc.
First board 119

4.2 Promotion Counts and Quality

  • 75 limit-ups yesterday → 20 limit-ups today, promotion rate 26.7% (first-board promotion is on the low side)
  • 17 names with ≥2 consecutive boards yesterday → 9 limit-ups today, consecutive-board promotion rate 52.9% (healthy inside the tier)
  • Yesterday's limit-up stocks today averaged +4.77%, median +4.39%, 62 up 12 downno broad collective board-breaking occurred, and the "yesterday's strong themes break their boards collectively" risk signal listed in pre-market Section 8.4 did not trigger

4.3 Board Breaks and the Ebbing Tide

Stock Yesterday's height Today Note
一鸣食品 (Yiming Food, 605179, main board) 5 boards +1.78% board broken, ending yesterday's second-highest tier
中大力德 (Zhongda Leader, 002896, main board) 2 boards +6.06% board broken but still strong
利欧股份 (Leo Group, 002131, main board) 2 boards +5.85% board broken, traded value RMB 8.080 billion, turnover rate 25.54%
盈峰环境 (Infore Environment, 000967, main board) 2 boards +5.21% board broken
欧克科技 (Ouke Technology, 001223, main board) 2 boards +9.10% broken board (touched limit then failed)
锦和商管 (Jinhe Property Management, 603682, main board) 2 boards −3.60% board broken and fell
中岩大地 (Zhongyan Dadi, 003001, main board) 2 boards −1.18% board broken and fell
立航科技 (Lihang Technology, 603261, main board) 2 boards −0.16% board broken

4.4 Core Large-Caps (High Traded Value + High Recognizability)

Stock Change Traded value Net main-force inflow Role
中际旭创 (Innolight, 300308, ChiNext) +13.24% RMB 49.790 bn +RMB 5.068 bn the absolute core large-cap of AI hardware
新易盛 (Eoptolink, 300502, ChiNext) +13.68% RMB 29.914 bn +RMB 4.549 bn optical modules
兆易创新 (GigaDevice, 603986, main board) +4.48% RMB 22.166 bn +RMB 1.595 bn memory
天孚通信 (T&S Communications, 300394, ChiNext) +17.45% RMB 15.873 bn +RMB 2.986 bn optical modules
东山精密 (Dongshan Precision, 002384, main board) +10.00% limit-up RMB 15.329 bn +RMB 4.364 bn the main-board core large-cap of PCB
药明康德 (WuXi AppTec, 603259, main board) +10.00% limit-up RMB 10.502 bn +RMB 1.833 bn the core large-cap of CRO
亨通光电 (Hengtong Optic-Electric, 600487, main board) +6.12% RMB 11.177 bn +RMB 0.750 bn main-board mapping of optical communications

4.5 Broken-Board Structure (Important)

Of today's 14 broken-board stocks, most still closed up sharply: 大族激光 (Han's Laser, 002008, main board) +8.67%, 兴森科技 (Fastprint Circuit, 002436, main board) +9.24%, 宏和科技 (Honghe Technology, 603256, main board) +8.87%, 中钨高新 (China Tungsten & Hightech, 000657, main board) +8.79%, 胜蓝股份 (Shenglan Technology, 300843, ChiNext) +17.88%, 欧莱新材 (Oulai New Material, 688530, STAR Market) +17.04%, 博迁新材 (Boqian New Materials, 605376, main board) +9.32%. This is "high-level turnover" rather than "capital exhaustion" — only a minority dived into the red after breaking the board. A broken-board rate of 9.2% with broken-board stocks not falling is a sign of healthy sentiment, not a topping signal.


5. Capital Flows

5.1 Northbound Capital

No reliable data. The exchanges stopped disclosing single-day net buy figures for the Shanghai/Shenzhen Stock Connect from August 2024; the interface returns net buy = 0, so this report makes no judgement whatsoever about northbound direction. The only confirmable figures are southbound: Stock Connect (Shenzhen) net buy of RMB 2.863 billion, Stock Connect (Shanghai) −RMB 0.439 billion, Hang Seng Index −0.66%.

5.2 Dragon-Tiger List

As of the cut-off (15:42) the exchanges had not yet published today's Dragon-Tiger List data, so this section is left blank — yesterday's data is not substituted in. The seat characteristics recorded pre-market yesterday (8/3) were "mostly hot money, low institutional participation". Whether large net buying from institution-dedicated seats appears today on the back of gains in large-cap names like Innolight and WuXi AppTec needs to be confirmed once the Dragon-Tiger List is published — and that is precisely the first thing tomorrow's pre-market run should go back and do.

5.3 Industry Net Main-Force Inflow (THS basis, RMB bn)

Top net inflows

Industry Change % Net inflow
Semiconductors +6.01% +23.368
Communication Equipment +5.40% +16.114
Components +7.07% +6.507
Optics & Optoelectronics +3.62% +5.780
Consumer Electronics +3.55% +5.154
Automation Equipment +3.93% +3.267
Electronic Chemicals +6.57% +3.164
General Equipment +2.95% +2.634
Computer Hardware +3.10% +2.317

Top net outflows

Industry Change % Net inflow
Banks −2.69% −8.045
Power +0.20% −3.402
Insurance −2.46% −2.968
Autos (OEM) −1.69% −2.641
Securities +0.04% −2.091
Baijiu −1.34% −1.968
Construction & Decoration +1.30% −1.731
Grid Equipment +2.03% −0.144

One-sentence portrait of today's capital flows: sell everything high-dividend / large-cap value (banks, insurance, baijiu, power, utilities), buy everything AI hardware (semiconductors, communication equipment, components, optics & optoelectronics). Grid equipment sits in between — up 2.03%, yet with net capital outflow, a catch-up state of "nobody is selling but nobody is really buying either".

5.4 Single-Stock Net Main-Force Inflow/Outflow (Tencent basis)

Top 10 net inflows: 中际旭创 (Innolight, 300308, ChiNext) +RMB 5.068 bn, 新易盛 (Eoptolink, 300502, ChiNext) +RMB 4.549 bn, 东山精密 (Dongshan Precision, 002384, main board) +RMB 4.364 bn, N 嘉立创 (JLC, 001232, main board, first trading day) +RMB 3.069 bn, 天孚通信 (T&S Communications, 300394, ChiNext) +RMB 2.986 bn, 药明康德 (WuXi AppTec, 603259, main board) +RMB 1.833 bn, 永鼎股份 (Yongding, 600105, main board) +RMB 1.669 bn, 兆易创新 (GigaDevice, 603986, main board) +RMB 1.595 bn, 工业富联 (Foxconn Industrial Internet, 601138, main board) +RMB 1.411 bn, 光迅科技 (Accelink, 002281, main board) +RMB 1.394 bn.

Top 10 net outflows: 比亚迪 (BYD, 002594, main board) −RMB 1.486 bn, 长鑫科技 (ChangXin Memory, 688825, STAR Market) −RMB 1.233 bn, 紫金矿业 (Zijin Mining, 601899, main board) −RMB 0.811 bn, 农业银行 (Agricultural Bank of China, 601288, main board) −RMB 0.724 bn, 贵州茅台 (Kweichow Moutai, 600519, main board) −RMB 0.664 bn, 中国平安 (Ping An, 601318, main board) −RMB 0.552 bn, 华电辽能 (Huadian Liaoning Energy, 600396, main board) −RMB 0.507 bn, 中芯国际 (SMIC, 688981, STAR Market) −RMB 0.487 bn, 风华高科 (Fenghua Advanced, 000636, main board) −RMB 0.458 bn, 长江电力 (China Yangtze Power, 600900, main board) −RMB 0.450 bn.

⚠️ Two divergences that need to be flagged separately:

  • 华电辽能 (Huadian Liaoning Energy, 600396, main board) rose 5.54% yet had net main-force outflow of RMB 507 million, turnover rate 20.73% — textbook high-level distribution; the pre-market qualitative call to Pass on it (PE 563.29) was confirmed on the capital-flow level.
  • 长鑫科技 (ChangXin Memory, 688825, STAR Market) closed +0.02% with net main-force outflow of RMB 1.233 billion against a backdrop of RMB 23.368 billion of net inflow into the semiconductor sector, on traded value of RMB 27.763 billion. The memory leader failing to follow the rally is a signal that this line is not homogeneous internally.

6. Tomorrow's Outlook

6.1 Judgement on the Continuity of Tomorrow's Main Themes

Main theme Today's stage Tomorrow's judgement Basis
AI compute hardware (optical modules / PCB / semiconductors) start-up acceleration phase (day 1) leaning towards continuation, but watch for a gap-up split Support: the three industries together took in more than RMB 46 billion of net inflow, core large-cap Innolight set a volume record at RMB 49.790 billion of traded value, the components sector was 63 up 0 down, and there is a clear overseas industry catalyst (NVIDIA Vera Rubin/Spectrum-6). Risk: a single-day +5.65% on the ChiNext Index is an extreme gain, and gapping up then fading the next day is a common sequel to this daily-bar shape
CRO / innovative drugs start-up phase (day 1) leaning towards continuation, but the driver is a single-company event Support: WuXi AppTec's (603259) results plus the full-year guidance raise are hard evidence that can persist, not sentiment. Risk: the medical services sector rose 5.54% yet saw net outflow of RMB 839 millionprice up, money out — and most of the diffusion names are followers without earnings support
Distribution grid / pumped storage / UHV (yesterday's pre-market S grade) split / silent downgrade to observation; not advisable to chase at tomorrow's open On the first day of policy publication all the core large-caps lagged the baseline and the sector saw net outflow. The explanation "the content leaked early and was front-run" received stronger support today than "the first pricing day"
High-level consecutive-board tier height of 7 boards cautious Chuanzhi Education 7 boards, Gaozheng Explosive 5 boards (26 intraday board breaks); Yiming Food's 5 boards already broken. The board-height names have nothing to do with today's main themes and constitute an independent sentiment line
Banks / insurance / baijiu / utilities drained of capital watch for stabilization Banks were 0 up 42 down, with net outflow of RMB 8.045 billion. If these assets stabilize tomorrow, it may mean the high-to-low rotation is drawing to a close, and growth-line strength should be marked down in step

6.2 Key Watch Items for Tomorrow

The following is a watch-priority ranking and confirmation-point list, not a rating and not buy/sell advice.

Branch Stocks (with board tagged) Confirmation point
Optical modules / optical communications (main-board mapping) 亨通光电 (Hengtong Optic-Electric, 600487, main board), 中天科技 (Zhongtian Technology, 600522, main board), 光迅科技 (Accelink, 002281, main board), 剑桥科技 (CIG, 603083, main board), 永鼎股份 (Yongding, 600105, main board) Whether, with 中际旭创 (Innolight, 300308, ChiNext) gapping up, they expand volume in step rather than gapping up and fading; only a second straight day of volume expansion in the main-board mapped names would show this line is spreading to the main board rather than being an internal ChiNext game
PCB / copper-clad laminate 东山精密 (Dongshan Precision, 002384, main board), 沪电股份 (WUS Printed Circuit, 002463, main board), 深南电路 (Shennan Circuits, 002916, main board), 生益科技 (Shengyi Technology, 600183, main board), 鹏鼎控股 (Avary Holding, 002938, main board) The components sector at 63 up 0 down today is extreme uniformity, so "whether decliners appear" tomorrow is the first indicator of whether the branch is starting to differentiate
CRO / innovative drugs 药明康德 (WuXi AppTec, 603259, main board), 凯莱英 (Asymchem, 002821, main board), 普洛药业 (Apeloa Pharmaceutical, 000739, main board) WuXi AppTec broke the board 6 times today before sealing it, so whether it can trade at a premium tomorrow (rather than being a one-day wonder) is the core question; also watch whether net outflow in the medical services sector can turn positive
Semiconductors 长电科技 (JCET, 600584, main board), 北方华创 (Naura, 002371, main board), 兆易创新 (GigaDevice, 603986, main board) Sector net inflow of RMB 23.368 billion ranks first, but the leader 长鑫科技 (ChangXin Memory, 688825, STAR Market) did not follow the rally; whether the leader catches up tomorrow determines how high this line can go
Power equipment (branch-survival observation only, not a primary pick) 四方股份 (Sifang Automation, 601126, main board), 东方电气 (Dongfang Electric, 600875, main board) Sifang Automation is the only positively-recommended name on the whole list to hit limit-up today, so whether it can make another board tomorrow is the only valid sample for judging whether any capital is left in the grid line; Dongfang Electric has expanded volume for two straight days — watch whether it can hold

6.3 What to Avoid Tomorrow

  1. The two names from yesterday's pre-market Top 5 that have already been disconfirmed: 国电南瑞 (NARI Technology, 600406, main board), 中国电建 (PowerChina, 601669, main board) — failing to rise on the first day of policy implementation makes rising on day two harder still; their turnover rates today were 0.93% and 0.98% respectively, capital attention is not low, it is absent.
  2. High-level second- and third-tier grid equipment names: 顺钠股份 (Shunna Electric, 000533, main board, 6 boards in 9 days, turnover rate 20.00%), 长缆科技 (Changlan Technology, 002879, main board, turnover rate 31.90% with net main-force outflow of RMB 55.84 million), 风范股份 (Fengfan Power Equipment, 601700, main board, 2 boards, negative PE) — they have now hit limit-up for two straight days against a backdrop of sector net outflow, textbook end-stage behaviour of a branch in its ebbing phase.
  3. 华电辽能 (Huadian Liaoning Energy, 600396, main board): up 5.54% but with net main-force outflow of RMB 507 million, turnover rate 20.73%, PE 563.29 — the most extreme sample of price up, money out.
  4. Isolated high-level consecutive-board names: 传智教育 (Chuanzhi Education, 003032, main board, 7 boards), 高争民爆 (Gaozheng Explosive, 002827, main board, 5 boards, 26 intraday board breaks, turnover rate 21.20%), 神雾节能 (Shenwu Energy Saving, 000820, main board, 4 boards, turnover rate 32.30%) — none of them is connected to either of today's main themes, and there will be no bid to absorb them once sentiment cools.
  5. Chasing today's 20cm limit-up names on ChiNext / the STAR Market: 光库科技 (Advanced Fiber Resources, 300620, ChiNext) +20.00%, 汉仪股份 (Hanyi Fonts, 301270, ChiNext) +20.01%, 宏景科技 (Hongjing Technology, 301396, ChiNext) +20.00%, 中青宝 (Zhongqingbao, 300052, ChiNext) +20.02%, 和林微纳 (Helin Micro-Nano, 688661, STAR Market) +20.00% — the volatility-amplification effect of 20cm names on day two of a main theme is pronounced.
  6. N 嘉立创 (JLC, 001232, main board): +146.28% on its first trading day with a turnover rate of 75.23%; first-day pricing of a new listing has no reference value, it should not be used as evidence of components-sector strength, and it is not suitable for a sector-logic relay trade.

6.4 Input Notes for Tomorrow Morning's Pre-Market List (the most important section)

  1. ⚠️ Change the workflow order: unpack the evening announcements first, then do the policy deep-dive. The catalysts of today's two strongest main themes (WuXi AppTec's interim report, the overseas optical-module industry news) were both already public at yesterday's pre-market cut-off and were both written into the news table, yet were never unpacked because the entire analysis budget went to word-frequency statistics of one policy PDF. Tomorrow morning we must first go line by line through the interim reports / results pre-announcements / guidance raises from the evening of 8/4, grading each one separately, before doing anything else.
  2. ⚠️ Change the branch-ranking basis: strength ranking must be assessed market-wide, and "main board first" applies only at the final stock-list level. Yesterday, "not main board" pushed AI compute down to branch 5, which directly missed the name with the highest traded value and the highest net main-force inflow in the entire market. Also required: every non-main-board main theme must have a main-board mapped name placed on the formal list (today's 亨通光电 600487, 中天科技 600522, 东山精密 002384 and 生益科技 600183 all validate that this route works).
  3. ⚠️ Change the Pass logic: after rejecting one attribution, a positive attribution must be done as a follow-up. The lesson from 生益科技 (Shengyi Technology, 600183, main board) — the judgement "it is not a memory stock" was right, but the very next question should have been "then what kind of stock is it, and how strong is that line?" The answer was PCB / copper-clad laminate, which was precisely the sub-sector with the most limit-ups today.
  4. ✅ Keep and reinforce "disconfirmation-style analysis". Today's avoidance-correct rate of 43.3% against an avoidance-wrong rate of 23.3%, with all four disconfirmations — 通威股份 (Tongwei, 600438), 中国核电 (China National Nuclear Power, 601985), 涪陵电力 (Fuling Electric Power, 600452), 三星医疗 (Sanxing Medical, 601567) — playing out. Using first-hand financial evidence to negate a popular narrative is currently the most reliable capability of this process and deserves further investment.
  5. ⚠️ Upgrade "main-theme disconfirmation signals" into entries with prescribed actions. Yesterday's Section 8.3 "blocked by a stronger stock" signal triggered accurately (GigaDevice +4.48% stronger than Pinggao Electric +1.59%), but nothing followed the trigger. Every entry on tomorrow morning's signal list must spell out "how to adjust branch strength once triggered".
  6. ⚠️ The pharma direction needs re-assessment. Yesterday pharma was labelled "bearish-leaning" (on the basis of centralized procurement + AstraZeneca down 9%); today medical services rose +5.54%, ranking 4th across all industries. Tomorrow morning we need to re-examine the relative weights of these two opposing forces — the centralized-procurement negative versus the earnings delivery of innovative drugs/CRO — and must not carry yesterday's conclusion forward.
  7. Go back and review the Dragon-Tiger List. Today's Dragon-Tiger List was not disclosed by the cut-off. The first thing tomorrow's pre-market run should do is look back at the 8/4 Dragon-Tiger List, focusing on confirming whether Innolight, WuXi AppTec and Dongshan Precision saw large net buying from institution-dedicated seats — this determines whether today's main theme is "hot-money sentiment" or "institutional accumulation", and the persistence of the two is completely different.
  8. Technical source-switching recommendation. The primary market-data source should be switched from East Money to Tencent (East Money's full-market quote endpoint has failed for three consecutive trading days), with sector data taken from THS.

⚠️ Risk disclaimer: this recap is post-close information review and observation only and does not constitute investment advice. Data may differ in timeliness or basis; please refer to exchange/company disclosures, and do not use this directly as a basis for trading.

Sources (external information):

Sources7

Every external link cited in the body, numbered in order of appearance. · 4 domains

  1. 1Securities Timesstcn.com
  2. 2East Moneyfinance.eastmoney.com
  3. 3Sina Financefinance.sina.com.cn
  4. 4East Moneyfinance.eastmoney.com
  5. 5ETF close commentary | ChiNext Index up 5.64%, compute hardware supply chain rebounds sharply — Sina Financefinance.sina.com.cn
  6. 6Blowout results from the leader + guidance raise! CRO names surge collectively — East Moneyfinance.eastmoney.com
  7. 7New-type power system "15th Five-Year Plan" released, building a green low-carbon power landscape — Caixincompanies.caixin.com