Starr Quant Lab Desk Research

A-Share · Recap

A-Share Market Recap | 2026-08-11 Tuesday

Tue A-Share Recap · 14 tables Asia/Shanghai

Machine-translated from the Chinese original. In case of any discrepancy, the Chinese version prevails.

Single-name entries

This is a reconciliation report — it carries no single-name score table. Recaps are structured around hit-rate reconciliation, theme verification and next-day outlook.

Data read timestamp: 2026-08-11 15:31 (Beijing time). Both the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have closed; the data are the day's final closing values. Price, fund-flow and sector data are taken from East Money (closing basis); the limit-up / failed-limit-up ladder is taken from the East Money limit-up pool (this basis excludes ST stocks, and the difference versus the full-market snapshot basis is noted in the main text). Data NOT obtained in this issue (disclosed honestly): ① the 8/11 Dragon-Tiger List — the exchanges publish it after 18:00, and it had not yet been generated when this issue was written at 15:31, so every fund-flow conclusion in this report lacks cross-verification from seat-level data; ② northbound daily net buying — since 2024-08-19 Stock Connect has stopped disclosing this indicator, and the market-data interface now only returns quota balances, so this issue gives no northbound figure, and any claim today of "northbound net inflow of RMB X billion" is invalid.


0. One-Sentence Recap

Sentiment: the cooling continues, but this is not a freeze — the number of first limit-ups was halved (87→42) while the consecutive-limit-up ladder actually thickened (12→16 names) and the highest board rose from 5 to 6. That is the structure of "new themes exhausted + carry-over ladder relaying." The strongest main line was not semiconductor equipment, which the pre-market list ranked first, but pharmaceuticals, which it ranked second (a complete 6/4/3-board ladder). The pre-market test that "semiconductor equipment posts main-force net inflow for a second straight day" was explicitly falsified: only 4 of the sector's 25 constituents rose. The pre-market recommendation list hit 3/14 = 21.4%, underperforming the market's 29.2% share of advancing stocks over the same period; while the Pass list was 72.2% correct — today this pre-market issue's power to exclude far exceeded its power to select. Tone for tomorrow: pharmaceuticals enter high-level disagreement, and MLCC / passive components plus the fund-flow recovery in optical modules are two new directions — but each has only one sample, so do not repeat yesterday's mistake of "ranking a branch on a single day's fund flow."


1. Market Overview

1.1 Indices

Index Close Change Open High Low Turnover (RMB bn)
SSE Composite 3934.09 −0.82% 3950.71 3966.39 3930.64 1066.737
SZSE Component 14259.44 −0.40% 14266.44 14447.10 14201.29 1254.249
ChiNext Index 3549.16 +0.34% 3533.89 3601.59 3517.57 601.156
STAR 50 1709.50 −1.63% 1713.26 1753.14 1699.92 110.406
CSI 300 4663.79 −0.81% 4689.45 4715.88 4660.47 645.385
SSE 50 2929.93 −1.27% 2956.60 2971.40 2928.19 181.512
CSI 1000 7698.05 −0.46% 7686.04 7789.21 7642.44 515.282
BSE 50 1113.22 −0.86% 1115.40 1125.23 1107.27 14.754
  • Combined Shanghai + Shenzhen turnover was RMB 2320.986 billion (excluding the BSE), down RMB 202.117 billion (−8.0%) from RMB 2523.103 billion on 8/10.
  • The SSE Composite's five-day winning streak ended; the intraday high of 3966.39 exactly equalled the 8/10 close, and the index failed to turn green all session.
  • The structure completely reversed versus yesterday: 8/10 was "strong index (SSE Composite +0.67%) but weak growth (ChiNext −0.73%)"; today was weak large caps (SSE 50 −1.27%) while the ChiNext Index actually closed up (+0.34%). STAR 50 at −1.63% was the weakest major index, consistent with the pullback in the semiconductor chain.

1.2 Limit-Ups / Limit-Downs and Sentiment Temperature

Indicator 8/11 (today) 8/10 (yesterday) 8/07 Change
Limit-up count (East Money limit-up pool basis) 58 99 74 −41 names
Failed-limit-up count 17 14 26 +3
Seal rate 77.3% 87.6% 74.0% −10.3 percentage points
Highest consecutive limit-ups 6 boards 5 boards 4 boards +1
Names with ≥2 consecutive limit-ups 16 12 13 +4
Names with ≥3 consecutive limit-ups 4 3 7 +1
First limit-up count 42 87 61 −45 names

Basis note: the table above uses the East Money limit-up pool basis, which excludes ST stocks. On the full-market snapshot basis (including ST and the BSE), today saw 71 limit-ups (main board 60 / ChiNext 8 / STAR Market 1 / BSE 2, of which 10 were ST stocks) and 10 limit-downs (of which 5 were ST stocks); the East Money limit-down pool recorded only 1 name (北京科锐 Beijing Creative Distribution Automation, 002350). The two bases must not be mixed; all cross-day comparisons in this issue use the East Money pool basis.

  • Market-wide advancers/decliners: 1615 up, 3777 down, 147 flat (5539 valid readings), an advancing share of only 29.2% — this was a broad decline day.
  • Performance today of yesterday's 97 limit-up stocks: average +0.81%, median −0.84%, 41 up / 55 down, with 9 falling more than 5%. The average was pulled up by a single name, 蓝盾光电 (Landun Photoelectronics, 300862, ChiNext) at +19.99%; the negative median is the real relay money-making effect.
  • Promotion rates: of yesterday's 87 first limit-ups → 12 second boards today, a first-board promotion rate of 13.8%; of yesterday's 12 names with ≥2 consecutive limit-ups → 4 advanced today, a high-level promotion rate of 33.3%.

Sentiment temperature verdict: the cooling period continues, but the structure is healthier than the aggregate. Halved first limit-ups and a 10-percentage-point drop in the seal rate are clear cooling signals; but the consecutive-limit-up ladder grew from 12 to 16 names, the highest board was pushed from 5 to 6, and names with ≥3 consecutive limit-ups rose from 3 to 4, showing that the carry-over ladder is continuing and what has dried up is the supply of new themes. This is not a "freeze" but "weak new additions + carry-over relay."


2. Reconciling the Pre-Market List

2.1 The Pre-Market "5 Names Most Worth Watching Today"

A new "Open→Close %" column has been added: the pre-market list is published before the open, so the earliest price actually executable is today's opening price. Looking only at "change versus the previous close" systematically overstates list quality — today's 甘李药业 (Gan & Lee, 603087) is the textbook example.

Stock (board) Pre-market conclusion Change today % Open→Close % (executed at today's open) Limit-up / failed limit-up Net main-force flow Delivered? Comment
甘李药业 (Gan & Lee, 603087, SSE main board ±10%) priority deep-dive +10.00% 0.00% limit-up (limit-up at the open → opened intraday to a low of 71.66 → resealed at 09:33:58 through the close, sealing bid RMB 278 million) +RMB 239 million ✅ delivered The pre-market call was entirely correct: S-grade in-window catalyst + a stock that had not yet moved = first limit-up. But it was limit-up at the open, so buying at the open returned 0; turnover was only 2.95%, meaning shares did not change hands sufficiently
北方华创 (Naura Technology, 002371, SZSE main board ±10%) priority deep-dive −1.83% −0.92% no −RMB 181 million ❌ not delivered The pre-market touchstone was "if the equipment main line is real, the leader must move." It did not move — the test itself was right, and the answer was no
中微公司 (AMEC, 688012, STAR Market ±20%) priority deep-dive −6.90% −3.94% no −RMB 1.539 billion (2nd-largest net outflow market-wide) badly not delivered The single explicit pre-market verification point, "can main-force net inflow continue for a second day," → it flipped from +RMB 891 million to −RMB 1.539 billion, a complete reversal of direction
雅克科技 (Jiangsu Yoke Technology, 002409, SZSE main board ±10%) watch closely −3.19% −0.74% no −RMB 277 million ❌ not delivered Verification point "can semiconductor materials extend the +RMB 1.035 billion" → today −RMB 3.143 billion
药明康德 (WuXi AppTec, 603259, SSE main board ±10%) watch closely −0.70% −0.12% no +RMB 348 million ⚠️ price did not deliver, verification point passed Pre-market verification point "can main-force funds flip from net outflow to net inflow" → it went from −RMB 139 million to +RMB 348 million, passed; but the share price still edged down, showing that a fund-flow turn does not equal same-day return

Top 5 hit rate 1/5 (20%).

2.2 Full Reconciliation of All 25 Names on the Master List

Code Name (board) Pre-market conclusion Change today % Open→Close % Limit-up / failed Net main-force flow (RMB bn) Delivered
603087 甘李药业 Gan & Lee (SSE main board) priority deep-dive +10.00% 0.00% limit-up +0.239
002371 北方华创 Naura (SZSE main board) priority deep-dive −1.83% −0.92% −0.181
688012 中微公司 AMEC (STAR Market) priority deep-dive −6.90% −3.94% −1.539
603259 药明康德 WuXi AppTec (SSE main board) watch closely −0.70% −0.12% +0.348
688072 拓荆科技 Piotech (STAR Market) watch closely −3.85% −1.41% −0.220
002409 雅克科技 Yoke Technology (SZSE main board) watch closely −3.19% −0.74% −0.277
300567 精测电子 Wuhan Jingce (ChiNext) watch closely −5.58% −4.03% −0.106
688082 盛美上海 ACM Research Shanghai (STAR Market) watch closely −3.43% −2.76% −0.030
300604 长川科技 Changchuan Technology (ChiNext) watch closely −2.44% −0.71% −0.457
688627 精智达 Jingzhida (STAR Market) watch closely −3.93% −4.96% −0.040
600519 贵州茅台 Kweichow Moutai (SSE main board) watch closely −0.17% −0.11% +0.085
600276 恒瑞医药 Jiangsu Hengrui (SSE main board) watch closely +1.46% +2.19% +0.301
688469 芯联集成-U Xinlian IC Manufacturing-U (STAR Market) watch closely +8.14% +3.15% −0.199
300184 力源信息 Liyuan Information (ChiNext) watch closely −0.94% +0.64% −0.016
301308 江波龙 Longsys (ChiNext) watch only +1.21% +1.33% −0.166 (correct: no breakout)
300759 康龙化成 Pharmaron (ChiNext) watch only +1.19% +0.32% −0.133 (small gain)
688361 中科飞测 Skyverse Technology (STAR Market) watch only −3.90% −1.61% −0.175 (correct)
601606 长城军工 Great Wall Military Industry (SSE main board) watch only −1.55% −4.68% −0.154 (correct)
002265 建设工业 Jianshe Industry (SZSE main board) watch only −3.89% −2.18% −0.050 (correct)
002821 凯莱英 Asymchem (SZSE main board) watch only −0.20% +0.49% −0.045 (correct)
001258 立新能源 Lixin Energy (SZSE main board) watch only +10.01% +13.79% limit-up (2 boards) +0.098 (wrong call: one of the strongest 2-board names of the day)
688600 皖仪科技 Anhui Wanyi (STAR Market) watch only −4.57% −4.07% +0.012 (correct)
002006 精工科技 Jinggong Science & Technology (SZSE main board) Pass −0.71% −1.69% 0.00 (correct)
301031 中熔电气 Sinofuse Electric (ChiNext) Pass +2.96% +2.18% +0.034 (slightly wrong)
600742 富维股份 FAW Fuwei (SSE main board) Pass 0.00% −1.16% +0.002 (correct, textbook)

2.3 Hit Rates and Self-Critique

Group Count Up today Hit rate Benchmark: market-wide advancing share
Priority deep-dive 3 1 (甘李药业 Gan & Lee 603087) 33.3% 29.2%
Watch closely 11 2 (恒瑞医药 Hengrui 600276, 芯联集成 Xinlian IC 688469) 18.2% 29.2%
Recommended total (deep-dive + watch) 14 3 21.4% 29.2%
Watch only 8 3 (江波龙 Longsys 301308, 康龙化成 Pharmaron 300759, 立新能源 Lixin Energy 001258) 37.5% 29.2%
Pass (§6 list, excluding 2 suspended names) 18 5 72.2% correct

Four self-criticisms, each harder to hear than the last:

① The recommended group underperformed the market, and the "watch only" group outperformed the recommended group. The 14 recommendations had a 21.4% advancing rate, nearly 8 percentage points below the 29.2% market benchmark; while the 8 names labelled "watch only" had a 37.5% advancing rate, one of which, 立新能源 (Lixin Energy, 001258), even sealed a 2nd board. The pre-market ranking direction was inverted today.

② There is only one root cause: using "yesterday's single-day No. 1 main-force net inflow" as the primary basis for ranking branches, when single-day extreme fund flows mean-revert. This is not hindsight attribution — it can be checked line by line:

Sector / stock 8/10 net main-force flow (RMB bn) 8/11 net main-force flow (RMB bn) Result
Semiconductor equipment +3.688 (No. 1 market-wide) −0.465 (−2.819 excluding the new listing; see note in §3) reversal
Semiconductor materials +1.035 −3.143 reversal
Components −9.087 +0.656 reversal
Communications equipment −16.710 +1.189 reversal
中际旭创 Innolight (300308) −7.347 (largest outflow market-wide) +1.645 reversal
Electronics −20.383 −9.089 outflow narrowed 55%
Digital chip design −8.570 −0.096 outflow narrowed 99%
Printed circuit boards −8.474 −1.429 outflow narrowed 83%

8 comparisons, 8 reversals or sharp convergences, without a single exception. The more extreme yesterday's inflow, the bigger today's outflow; the more extreme yesterday's outflow, the fiercer today's recovery.

③ But the pre-market "test design" was right; what was wrong was the conclusion. The pre-market issue wrote down three explicitly falsifiable verification points for semiconductor equipment — "can AMEC post net inflow for a second straight day," "北方华创 (Naura, 002371) as the leader must move," and "can semiconductor materials extend the +RMB 1.035 billion." All three returned a negative answer today, and a perfectly clear one. A list that writes its own assumptions as falsifiable propositions still has a usable methodology even when the conclusion is wrong. What must change next time is not the tests, but the act of "ranking a branch first before its tests have been met."

④ One specific, entirely avoidable omission: 洁美科技 (Jiemei Technology, 002859, SZSE main board ±10%). It appeared on line 14 of the pre-market §1 news overview ("plans to acquire 100% of 埃福思科技 Efosi Technology for RMB 915 million") and was graded B, but it never entered the stock scoring table and was never mapped to any branch. Today it rose +10.00% to limit-up, turnover RMB 1.521 billion, main-force +RMB 244 million (16.05% of turnover), and became the leading gainer of today's strongest new main line, "passive components." News that made it into the news table but not into the scoring table is news that was never read.


3. Verifying Today's Main Lines

3.1 Actual Outcomes of the 8 Pre-Market Branches

Pre-market rank Branch Pre-market strength Actual performance today Limit-up ladder Stage Conclusion
1 Semiconductor equipment / materials A+ Semiconductor equipment −1.96% (industry gain rank 449/496), main-force −RMB 465 million; semiconductor materials −2.23%, −RMB 3.143 billion; only 4 of 25 constituents rose and only 6 had net inflow 0 limit-ups ebbing ❌ tests clearly falsified; avoid high-level names tomorrow
2 Innovative drugs going global / pharmaceuticals A Pharma R&D outsourcing +3.10% (4th by industry), offline pharmacies +5.44% (2nd), pharmaceutical distribution +1.74%, biological products +0.75%, medical services +0.91%; innovative drug concept +1.02%, weight-loss drug concept +1.34% 6 boards 百花医药 Baihua Pharmaceutical (600721), 4 boards 开开实业 Kaikai Industrial (600272), 3 boards 哈药股份 Harbin Pharmaceutical (600664), 2 boards 第一医药 Shanghai First Pharmacy (600833), first boards 老百姓 LBX Pharmacy (603883) / 甘李药业 Gan & Lee (603087) late fermentation / high-level disagreement ✅ the genuine strongest main line today, ranked 2nd pre-market
3 Ordnance restructuring / ground weaponry B+ Ground weaponry −2.81%, main-force −RMB 345 million; 长城军工 Great Wall Military Industry (601606) −1.55% (open→close −4.68%), 建设工业 Jianshe Industry (002265) −3.89% 0 ebbing ❌ falsified. The pre-market issue already noted "no new same-day catalyst announcement found" — that warning was right
4 Memory B+ Memory chip concept −0.95%, main-force −RMB 6.306 billion; 江波龙 Longsys (301308) +1.21%, 佰维存储 Biwin Storage (688525) +0.02%, 德明利 Demingli (001309) +0.05%, 长鑫科技 CXMT (688825) −1.75%, 兆易创新 GigaDevice (603986) −0.18% 0 flat, no ladder ⚠️ direction called correctly (do not chase), but the strongest name in the chain was missed; see §3.2-D
5 Precious metals / gold B Precious metals −5.05% (rank 492/496), gold −5.59%, silver −3.22%; 紫金矿业 Zijin Mining (601899) −6.40%, main-force −RMB 1.842 billion (largest net outflow market-wide); 招金黄金 Zhaojin Gold (000506) −5.27%, open→close −10.05%; 盛屯矿业 Shengtun Mining (600711) −2.67% 0 (招金黄金 Zhaojin Gold 000506 broke its 2-board streak) ebbing / collapsing ❌ the biggest trap of the day
6 Food & beverage / baijiu B Food & beverage −0.65%, main-force −RMB 1.288 billion; 贵州茅台 Kweichow Moutai (600519) −0.17% 0 no progress ❌ weakly falsified. The pre-market issue already noted "no news-driven catalyst, purely fund-driven" — that reservation was right
7 Power grid equipment / UHV B− Power grid equipment −1.28%, main-force −RMB 1.761 billion; 北京科锐 Beijing Creative Distribution Automation (002350) limit-down; 风范股份 Fengfan Power Equipment (601700) −2.54%, 长城电工 Great Wall Electrical (600192) −4.44%, 三变科技 Sanbian Technology (002112) −2.49%; 中国西电 China XD Electric (601179) −1.92%, 平高电气 Pinggao Electric (600312) −2.46% 0 ebbing called correctly — the pre-market issue had already put it under "not recommended to chase today," and the reason "the core leaders are not following" played out exactly
8 Specialty gases / tungsten hexafluoride C 中船特气 CSSC Special Gas (688146) −4.36%; 和远气体 Heyuan Gas (002971) +1.40% 0 ebbing ✅ called correctly

Did the pre-market issue identify the strongest main line? No. It ranked semiconductor equipment ahead of innovative drugs on the grounds of "branches ranked by branch strength, and its funds were No. 1 market-wide"; today the result was the No. 1 ranked branch ebbed and the No. 2 ranked branch led. The sentence the pre-market issue itself wrote in §2 — "branches are ranked by branch strength and stocks by stock strength, and the two are not consistent today; this is the point that most needs attention today" — is, in hindsight, the most valuable line in the whole issue: the stock ranking (Gan & Lee first) was right; the branch ranking (equipment first) was wrong.

3.2 Four Main Lines the Pre-Market Issue Missed Entirely

A. MLCC / passive components — the strongest new direction today

Indicator Reading
Passive components (industry) +1.14%, main-force +RMB 2.084 billion (2nd-largest industry net inflow market-wide), 4.38% of turnover
MLCC (concept) +2.00%, main-force +RMB 1.808 billion
Passive components (concept) +1.40%, main-force +RMB 1.553 billion
  • Limit-ups: 洁美科技 (Jiemei Technology, 002859, SZSE main board ±10%) +10.00%, turnover RMB 1.521 billion; 双星新材 (Shuangxing New Material, 002585, SZSE main board ±10%) +10.04%, main-force share 49.58%; 国风新材 (Guofeng New Materials, 000859, SZSE main board ±10%) +9.97%, 2 consecutive limit-ups, turnover RMB 1.280 billion.
  • Core leaders and disagreement: 风华高科 (Fenghua Advanced Technology, 000636, SZSE main board ±10%) +6.73%, turnover RMB 17.290 billion (5th market-wide), turnover rate 22.74%, main-force +RMB 744 million, sealed then broke the limit 4 times intraday; 三环集团 (CCTC, 300408, ChiNext ±20%) +2.48%, main-force +RMB 665 million, turnover RMB 11.910 billion; 达利凯普 (Dalicap, 301566, ChiNext ±20%) +13.21% (failed limit-up), 麦捷科技 (Microgate Technology, 300319, ChiNext ±20%) +7.62%, main-force +RMB 345 million.
  • Driver: per a Sina Finance closing commentary citation, the market reflected that "the AI wave is driving rapid growth in MLCC demand, with major MLCC makers holding full order books and running near full capacity," with lead times on some products already stretched to 12-16 months. Sina closing commentary
  • Stage: launch / first confirmation. Funds, limit-ups and core leaders all point the same way, and a ladder is beginning to form. But today is its day one — which is exactly where semiconductor equipment stood yesterday, and semiconductor equipment failed today.

B. Optical modules / CPO / PCB leaders — fund-flow recovery, the exact opposite of the pre-market call

  • Communications network equipment & components main-force +RMB 3.435 billion, the largest industry net inflow market-wide; communications equipment +RMB 1.189 billion.
  • Stocks: 新易盛 (Eoptolink, 300502, ChiNext ±20%) +3.93%, main-force +RMB 2.054 billion (2nd among all stocks market-wide); 东山精密 (Dongshan Precision, 002384, SZSE main board ±10%) +4.26%, +RMB 1.793 billion; 中际旭创 (Innolight, 300308, ChiNext ±20%) +2.59%, +RMB 1.645 billion, turnover RMB 29.959 billion (1st market-wide); 光迅科技 (Accelink, 002281, SZSE main board ±10%) +3.24%, +RMB 391 million; 锐捷网络 (Ruijie Networks, 301165, ChiNext ±20%) +5.36%; 深南电路 (Shennan Circuits, 002916, SZSE main board ±10%) +2.23%, +RMB 400 million; 科翔股份 (Kexiang, 300903, ChiNext ±20%) +7.60%, +RMB 483 million.
  • The pre-market issue put "optical modules / CPO / communications equipment" first on its "not recommended to chase today" list, on the grounds that 中际旭创 (Innolight, 300308) had a net outflow of RMB 7.347 billion on 8/10 and "an outflow of that magnitude usually does not end in one day." It ended in one day, and reversed to +RMB 1.645 billion.
  • ⚠️ This issue obtained no new same-day catalyst announcement or industry news for this direction; it cannot be ruled out that this is fund-flow recovery after the early-August FCC ban rumour (when Innolight's single-day turnover hit an all-time record) was digested. This is an inference, not a confirmed causal link.
  • Divergence inside PCB: the printed circuit board industry as a whole was still −0.71% with main-force −RMB 1.429 billion (a sharp narrowing from −RMB 8.474 billion on 8/10), but 胜宏科技 (Victory Giant Technology, 300476, ChiNext ±20%) −4.01%, −RMB 1.045 billion, and 景旺电子 (Kinwong Electronic, 603228, SSE main board ±10%) −7.00%, offsetting the inflows into 东山精密 (Dongshan Precision, 002384), 深南电路 (Shennan Circuits, 002916) and 科翔股份 (Kexiang, 300903). The pre-market issue's "two-way, no one-directional conclusion" stance on PCB looks appropriate in hindsight.

C. Auto parts — the industry with the most limit-ups today

  • 7 limit-ups (1st in the limit-up pool's industry distribution), main-force +RMB 1.376 billion (3rd-largest industry net inflow): 秦安股份 (Qin'an Machinery, 603758, SSE main board ±10%) 3 consecutive limit-ups, one-line sealed at 09:25 with a turnover rate of only 1.03%; 新泉股份 (Xinquan Automotive Trim, 603179, SSE main board ±10%) turnover RMB 1.222 billion; 斯菱智驱 (Sling Intelligent Drive, 301550, ChiNext ±20%) +20.00%, turnover RMB 1.173 billion; 福赛科技 (Fusai Technology, 301529, ChiNext ±20%) +20.00%; 北特科技 (Beite Technology, 603009, SSE main board ±10%); 朗博科技 (Langbo Technology, 603655, SSE main board ±10%); 登云股份 (Dengyun Auto-parts, 002715, SZSE main board ±10%).
  • Sealing times were tightly clustered between 11:02 and 14:37, with five of the six sealing in the afternoon — this was a fund relay born intraday, not a direction present from the open. This issue obtained no unified industry-level catalyst and makes no causal attribution.
  • An awkward comparison: 富维股份 (FAW Fuwei, 600742, SSE main board ±10%, RMB 3.936 billion seat nomination), which the pre-market issue Passed, was 0.00% today, and the reasons for the Pass (revenue deferred to 2027-2028, similar announcements not a first) hold up completely; yet 新泉股份 (Xinquan, 603179), also in auto parts, hit limit-up. Passing the stock was right; casually crossing off the whole chain along with it went too far.

D. Engineering consulting / construction & decoration, and the true strongest name in the memory chain

  • Engineering consulting services main-force +RMB 1.336 billion, 12.33% of turnover, the highest of any industry market-wide; construction & decoration +RMB 1.153 billion.
  • 太极实业 (Taiji Industry, 600667, SSE main board ±10%) +10.02% limit-up, turnover RMB 6.467 billion, main-force +RMB 1.357 billion, sealing bid RMB 343 million, turnover rate 15.29% — it was simultaneously the leading gainer of the "memory chip" concept today. Its controlled subsidiary 海太半导体 (Hitech Semiconductor) is SK Hynix's DRAM packaging-and-test joint-venture base in China, and its subsidiary 十一科技 (Shiyi Technology) is an EPC contractor for semiconductor cleanrooms, making it a direct contractor in the memory capacity-expansion chain. JRJ
  • The pre-market §7.3 wrote that "the memory upcycle is real, but its best expression in A-shares right now is not module makers and fabs, it is equipment and materials" — half right: it indeed was not module makers, but the expression that worked today was equipment installation and packaging/testing services (太极实业 Taiji Industry, 600667), not equipment manufacturing (中微公司 AMEC 688012 / 北方华创 Naura 002371).
  • Other limit-ups: 甘咨询 (Gansu Engineering Consulting, 000779, SZSE main board ±10%) +10.03%, turnover rate 28.90%; 恒尚节能 (Hengshang Energy Saving, 603137, SSE main board ±10%), 豪尔赛 (Haerse Technology, 002963, SZSE main board ±10%), 宝鹰股份 (Baoying Construction, 002047, SZSE main board ±10%).

E. Two more minor main lines: oil & gas extraction +3.05% (中国海油 CNOOC 600938 +5.31%, main-force +RMB 368 million), oilfield services & engineering +1.68%; film & cinema +1.98% — 北京文化 (Beijing Culture, 000802, SZSE main board ±10%) 2 consecutive limit-ups, 华智数媒 (Huazhi Digital Media, 300426, ChiNext ±20%) +20.00%; per the Sina closing commentary, summer-season box office as of 11:00 on 8/11 reached RMB 8.741 billion, with 31 consecutive days above RMB 100 million in a single day.


4. Limit-Up Ladder and Height Boards

4.1 The Full Ladder

Height Stock (board) Key readings Status
6 boards 百花医药 (Baihua Pharmaceutical, 600721, SSE main board ±10%) +10.01%, turnover RMB 852 million, turnover rate 17.38%, sealing bid RMB 341 million, sealed at 09:25:03, broke the limit once The market's highest board. The pre-market issue characterised it as "only a sentiment thermometer, Q1 revenue −30.68%"; the fundamental judgement was not wrong, but the direction was — it was still the strongest name market-wide today
4 boards 开开实业 (Kaikai Industrial, 600272, SSE main board ±10%) +10.02%, turnover RMB 752 million, turnover rate 30.27%, broke the limit 21 times, final seal at 13:38 Promoted but extremely unstable; 21 broken seals is a textbook reading of disagreement made visible
3 boards 哈药股份 (Harbin Pharmaceutical, 600664, SSE main board ±10%) +9.97%, turnover RMB 5.495 billion, turnover rate 26.95%, broke the limit 19 times, final seal at 13:47 The consecutive-limit-up name with the largest turnover in the pharma chain, equally high disagreement
3 boards 秦安股份 (Qin'an Machinery, 603758, SSE main board ±10%) +9.97%, turnover only RMB 57 million, turnover rate 1.03%, one-line sealed at 09:25, 0 broken seals Locked-position one-line type, the exact opposite form of the two above
2 boards 12 names Including 立新能源 Lixin Energy (001258), 蓝盾光电 Landun Photoelectronics (300862), 北京文化 Beijing Culture (000802), 国风新材 Guofeng New Materials (000859), 一鸣食品 Yiming Food (605179), 第一医药 Shanghai First Pharmacy (600833), 同力天启 Tongli Tianqi (605286), 华东数控 East China Numerical Control (002248), 皇氏集团 Royal Group (002329), 京投发展 Jingtou Development (600683), 亚邦股份 Yabang Dyestuff (603188), 联泰环保 Liantai Environmental (603797)

Ladder structure: 6-4-3-3-2, a continuous height range with no gap for the first time (8/10 was a gapped "5-5-3-2, with only 1 name at 3 boards"). On ladder completeness, today's structure is actually better than yesterday's, even though total limit-ups were halved.

⚠️ But the fund quality of the ladder is poor, and this cannot be papered over by "no gap": 4-board 开开实业 (Kaikai Industrial, 600272) had main-force net outflow of RMB 37 million and 3-board 哈药股份 (Harbin Pharmaceutical, 600664) main-force net outflow of RMB 194 millionboth successfully promoted high-level names sealed their limit-ups while main-force funds were flowing out, meaning the sealing money came from hot-money and retail relay rather than institutions. By comparison, 6-board 百花医药 (Baihua Pharmaceutical, 600721) at +RMB 69 million and 3-board 秦安股份 (Qin'an Machinery, 603758) at +RMB 7 million were positive but tiny. "A complete ladder" and "a ladder with money behind it" are two different things, and today we only have the former.

4.2 Broken Streaks and Failed Limit-Ups

  • Broken streaks: 宝鼎科技 (Baoding Technology, 002552, SZSE main board ±10%, 5 boards) touched the limit intraday then broke it, closing +4.30%, turnover RMB 3.051 billion, turnover rate 15.03% — the pre-market "5-board high-level names not recommended to chase" call got the direction right (streak broken) but the magnitude wrong (it still closed up 4.30%); 百普赛斯 (ACROBiosystems, 301080, ChiNext ±20%, 2 boards) +5.92% without sealing, turnover rate 27.23%; 先导基电 (Xiandao Jidian, 600641, SSE main board ±10%, 2 boards) −5.64%, main-force −RMB 414 million, turnover rate 16.17%the clarification announcement as a Pass test was again validated; 招金黄金 (Zhaojin Gold, 000506, SZSE main board ±10%, 2 boards) −5.27%, having hit +10.05% limit-up at the open before falling back all day, open→close −10.05%; 毕得医药 (Bide Pharmatech, 688073, STAR Market ±20%, 2 boards) +2.02%.
  • Failed-limit-up pool of 17 names, with the most broken seals at: 益生股份 (Yisheng Livestock, 002458, SZSE main board ±10%) broke 8 times, closing +5.31%; 风华高科 (Fenghua Advanced Technology, 000636) broke 4 times, closing +6.73%; 贤丰控股 (Xianfeng Holding, 002141, SZSE main board ±10%) broke 3 times, closing +2.38%; 一心堂 (Yixintang Pharmaceutical, 002727, SZSE main board ±10%) broke 2 times; 湖南白银 (Hunan Silver, 002716, SZSE main board ±10%) broke 2 times, closing +2.02%; 诚达药业 (Chengda Pharmaceuticals, 301201, ChiNext ±20%) broke 2 times, closing +9.88%.
  • What the failed-limit-up pool's industry distribution signals: 4 of the 17 are in the components sector (宝鼎科技 Baoding Technology 002552, 贤丰控股 Xianfeng Holding 002141, 达利凯普 Dalicap 301566, 风华高科 Fenghua Advanced Technology 000636) — the MLCC / passive components direction already showed signs of unstable sealing on day one, and this is the disagreement signal that must be watched tomorrow.

4.3 Core Leaders (high-turnover gainers with clear identity)

Stock (board) Change Turnover Net main-force flow Note
中际旭创 (Innolight, 300308, ChiNext ±20%) +2.59% RMB 29.959 billion (1st market-wide) +RMB 1.645 billion The most identifiable name in the optical-module recovery
新易盛 (Eoptolink, 300502, ChiNext ±20%) +3.93% RMB 19.980 billion +RMB 2.054 billion (2nd among stocks) Same as above
东山精密 (Dongshan Precision, 002384, SZSE main board ±10%) +4.26% RMB 17.590 billion +RMB 1.793 billion The long side within PCB
风华高科 (Fenghua Advanced Technology, 000636, SZSE main board ±10%) +6.73% RMB 17.290 billion +RMB 744 million Largest turnover in passive components, turnover rate 22.74%
太极实业 (Taiji Industry, 600667, SSE main board ±10%) +10.02% RMB 6.467 billion +RMB 1.357 billion The strongest expression of the memory chain, largest turnover among limit-ups

⚠️ Two new listings are excluded from every main-line judgement: N 超纯 (N Chaochun, 301717) +662.24%, main-force +RMB 2.355 billion, and N 国仪-U (N Guoyi-U, 688828) +419.46%, main-force +RMB 1.341 billion, both on their first trading day; their fund flows contaminate sector statistics — the semiconductor equipment sector's −RMB 465 million reading today was precisely inflated by N 超纯 (N Chaochun, 301717)'s +RMB 2.355 billion; excluding it, the sector's true net outflow was −RMB 2.819 billion.


5. Fund Flows

5.1 Two Data Gaps That Must Be Stated First

  1. Northbound funds: since 2024-08-19, Stock Connect has stopped disclosing daily net buy/sell amounts. The market-data interface now provides only quota balances (its "RMB 42 billion" is the daily quota cap, not an inflow amount). This issue gives no northbound figure. Any "northbound net inflow of RMB X billion" from any source today is invalid.
  2. Dragon-Tiger List: the exchanges publish it after 18:00 on the day, and it had not yet been generated when this issue was written at 15:31. The fund-flow conclusions below therefore all come from main-force fund flow (tabulated by per-trade order size) and lack cross-verification from exchange seat-level data — the direction of institution-only seats and well-known hot-money branches cannot be determined today.

5.2 Industry Main-Force Fund Flows

Top 10 net inflows Change Net main-force flow (RMB bn) % of turnover
Communications network equipment & components +0.15% +3.435 3.32%
Passive components +1.14% +2.084 4.38%
Auto parts +0.15% +1.376 2.88%
Engineering consulting services −0.45% +1.336 12.33% (highest market-wide)
Communications equipment −0.16% +1.189 0.81%
Membrane materials +1.85% +1.160 9.35%
Construction & decoration −0.14% +1.153 4.07%
Other electronics +0.06% +1.111 5.80%
PV equipment +0.37% +1.103 3.32%
Instruments & meters −0.19% +1.100 7.23%
Top 10 net outflows Change Net main-force flow (RMB bn) % of turnover
Non-ferrous metals −3.03% −13.986 −6.88%
Electronics −0.40% −9.089 −1.42%
Industrial metals −2.72% −5.927 −7.62%
Semiconductors −0.48% −5.575 −1.74%
Minor metals −3.95% −4.751 −8.93%
Copper −4.10% −4.550 −9.64%
Defense & military −2.15% −3.801 −6.44%
Semiconductor materials −2.23% −3.143 −6.77%
Consumer electronics −0.13% −2.892 −4.56%
Power equipment −0.58% −2.814 −1.67%

Both ends of the industry gain table: leaders — textile & footwear manufacturing +5.83%, offline pharmacies +5.44%, inverters +3.10%, pharma R&D outsourcing +3.10%, oil & gas extraction +3.05%; laggards — tungsten −5.64%, gold −5.59%, cobalt −5.55%, nickel −5.32%, precious metals −5.05%, rare earths −4.81% (main-force at −16.03% of turnover, the most extreme market-wide), aerospace equipment −4.76%, molybdenum −4.42%, copper −4.10%.

Today's fund axis in one sentence: one-directional outflow from "non-ferrous + military + semiconductor materials" into "communications / optical modules + passive components + auto parts + engineering & construction." Non-ferrous metals alone was −RMB 13.986 billion, 1.5 times the second-placed sector (electronics, −RMB 9.089 billion).

5.3 Stock-Level Main-Force Fund Flows

Top 8 net inflows (excluding the two new listings): 新易盛 Eoptolink (300502) +RMB 2.054 billion, 东山精密 Dongshan Precision (002384) +RMB 1.793 billion, 中际旭创 Innolight (300308) +RMB 1.645 billion, 太极实业 Taiji Industry (600667) +RMB 1.357 billion, 风华高科 Fenghua Advanced Technology (000636) +RMB 744 million, 阳光电源 Sungrow (300274, ChiNext ±20%, +5.59%) +RMB 731 million, 普冉股份 Puya Semiconductor (688766, STAR Market ±20%, +2.67%) +RMB 710 million, 三环集团 CCTC (300408) +RMB 665 million.

Top 8 net outflows: 紫金矿业 Zijin Mining (601899) −RMB 1.842 billion, 中微公司 AMEC (688012) −RMB 1.539 billion, 洛阳钼业 CMOC (603993, SSE main board ±10%, −7.81%) −RMB 1.264 billion, 亨通光电 Hengtong Optic-Electric (600487, SSE main board ±10%, −3.35%) −RMB 1.084 billion, 胜宏科技 Victory Giant Technology (300476) −RMB 1.045 billion, 工业富联 Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138, SZSE main board ±10%, −4.58%) −RMB 1.035 billion, 利通电子 Litong Electronic (603629, SSE main board ±10%, −6.03%) −RMB 940 million, 国瓷材料 Sinocera Functional Material (300285, ChiNext ±20%, −4.24%) −RMB 786 million.

A comparison worth recording: 中微公司 (AMEC, 688012), No. 3 on the pre-market recommendation list, was the 2nd-largest stock-level net outflow market-wide today; 中际旭创 (Innolight, 300308), No. 1 on the pre-market "not recommended to chase" list, had the largest turnover market-wide and the 3rd-largest stock-level net inflow today. These two appearing in the same list at the same time is not a luck problem, it is a ranking-basis problem.


6. Outlook for Tomorrow

6.1 Main-Line Continuity Assessment

Main line Status today Call for tomorrow Basis
Pharmaceuticals / innovative drugs Complete 6-4-3-2 ladder, top of the industry gain table continues, but entering high-level disagreement Supporting: no gap in the ladder, pharmaceutical distribution / offline pharmacies / CRO all strong, and 甘李药业 (Gan & Lee, 603087)'s first board brings new blood. Risk: 开开实业 (Kaikai Industrial, 600272) broke the limit 21 times and 哈药股份 (Harbin Pharmaceutical, 600664) 19 times, so absorbing supply at high levels is already a strain
MLCC / passive components Funds +RMB 2.084 billion, 3 limit-ups, core leaders on heavy volume needs a second day of confirmation; do not characterise it prematurely This is its day 1, exactly where semiconductor equipment stood yesterday. And 4 of the 17 names in the failed-limit-up pool are components, so unstable sealing showed up on day one
Optical modules / CPO Communications network equipment +RMB 3.435 billion (1st by industry) also only 1 sample The three leaders (中际旭创 Innolight 300308 / 新易盛 Eoptolink 300502 / 光迅科技 Accelink 002281) moving the same way on funds is a plus; but this issue obtained no new catalyst today, and if this is recovery after rumour digestion, it will be less durable than an industry-driven move
Auto parts 7 limit-ups, 1st by industry watch; the ladder has not yet formed 5 of the 6 sealed in the afternoon, mostly first boards (only 秦安股份 Qin'an Machinery 603758 at 3 boards); no unified catalyst
Semiconductor equipment / materials Only 4 of 25 constituents rose, the leader did not follow ebbing; avoid high-level names All three tests failed; 中微公司 (AMEC, 688012) −RMB 1.539 billion
Non-ferrous / precious metals / minor metals Sector −RMB 13.986 billion, several sub-sectors down more than 5% mid-ebb; do not catch the falling knife An outflow of this magnitude usually does not end in one day
Military / commercial aerospace Defense & military −RMB 3.801 billion, commercial aerospace −RMB 7.853 billion ebbing 中国卫星 (China Satellite, 600118) −8.12%, aerospace equipment −4.76%

6.2 Key Names to Watch Tomorrow (observation targets only; no position or entry/exit implication)

# Stock (board) Branch Reason to watch Verification point for tomorrow
1 百花医药 (Baihua Pharmaceutical, 600721, SSE main board ±10%) pharma sentiment leader The market's highest board at 6, sealing bid RMB 341 million, limit broken only once — the market's sentiment thermometer Can it reach 7 boards; if the streak breaks, the whole pharma ladder steps down a level
2 洁美科技 (Jiemei Technology, 002859, SZSE main board ±10%) MLCC / passive components Leading gainer of the new main line, and on the evening of 8/10 announced a plan to acquire 100% of 埃福思科技 (Efosi Technology) for RMB 915 million — both theme and company-specific news; the one the pre-market issue missed Can it reach 2 consecutive limit-ups, and can the passive components industry post net inflow for a second straight day
3 风华高科 (Fenghua Advanced Technology, 000636, SZSE main board ±10%) passive components Turnover RMB 17.290 billion, turnover rate 22.74%, main-force +RMB 744 million — the most identifiable core leader in this direction The 4 broken seals intraday are today's hidden risk; can it hold on heavy volume tomorrow rather than repeatedly tapping the limit again
4 太极实业 (Taiji Industry, 600667, SSE main board ±10%) memory chain (packaging & test / EPC) Largest turnover among limit-ups (RMB 6.467 billion), main-force +RMB 1.357 billion, sealing bid RMB 343 million; leading gainer of the memory concept today Can it reach 2 consecutive limit-ups and pull the memory chain from "flat" to "with a ladder"
5 中际旭创 (Innolight, 300308, ChiNext ±20%) / 新易盛 (Eoptolink, 300502, ChiNext ±20%) optical modules / CPO Largest turnover market-wide, 2nd / 3rd stock-level net inflow, the biggest single-day fund-flow reversal Can they post net inflow for a second straight day — the same test set for semiconductor equipment yesterday, except this time wait for it to be met before ranking
6 甘李药业 (Gan & Lee, 603087, SSE main board ±10%) innovative drugs going global The only pre-market recommendation that delivered; first board with a turnover rate of only 2.95%, so shares did not change hands sufficiently Can it reach 2 consecutive limit-ups; ⚠️ the share-reduction window for 7 directors, supervisors and senior executives opens on 8/31 (announced after the close on 8/6), and that does not disappear because of a limit-up
7 秦安股份 (Qin'an Machinery, 603758, SSE main board ±10%) auto parts The only height board in this direction (3 boards), one-line locked with a turnover rate of only 1.03% Can it reach 4 boards, which decides whether auto parts is a "one-day trip" or "has a ladder"

6.3 Avoid Tomorrow

  1. The entire non-ferrous metals chain (precious metals / gold / copper / tungsten / rare earths / minor metals / energy metals) — −RMB 13.986 billion in a single day, with 紫金矿业 (Zijin Mining, 601899) at −RMB 1.842 billion the largest stock-level outflow market-wide; 招金黄金 (Zhaojin Gold, 000506)'s pattern today of "limit-up at the open → −5.27% at the close" is the classic first-day-of-ebb move.
  2. High-level semiconductor equipment names — 中微公司 (AMEC, 688012) −RMB 1.539 billion; only 4 of the sector's 25 constituents rose, and the leader 北方华创 (Naura, 002371) at −1.83% did not follow. Do not re-rank it until two consecutive days of net inflow appear.
  3. Consecutive-limit-up names with extremely frequent broken seals — 开开实业 (Kaikai Industrial, 600272) broke 21 times, 哈药股份 (Harbin Pharmaceutical, 600664) 19 times. Sealing is not the same as being able to absorb supply; the disagreement in these two is already written on the order book.
  4. Military / commercial aerospace / aerospace equipment — commercial aerospace −RMB 7.853 billion, defense & military −RMB 7.015 billion (concept basis), 中国卫星 (China Satellite, 600118) −8.12%, aerospace equipment −4.76%.
  5. Lone names with extreme turnover rates — 万邦医药 (Wanbang Pharmaceutical, 301520, ChiNext ±20%) turnover rate 64.83%, limit broken 6 times; 甘咨询 (Gansu Engineering Consulting, 000779, SZSE main board ±10%) turnover rate 28.90%; 开开实业 (Kaikai Industrial, 600272) turnover rate 30.27%. High-turnover names with no ladder behind them have uncontrollable next-day volatility.
  6. Power grid equipment / UHV — 北京科锐 (Beijing Creative Distribution Automation, 002350) hit limit-down today, the sector was −RMB 1.761 billion, and core leaders 中国西电 (China XD Electric, 601179) and 平高电气 (Pinggao Electric, 600312) continued not to follow. This pre-market call has now been correct two days running.

6.4 Inputs for Tomorrow Morning's Pre-Market List (the most important section)

  1. [Methodology, must change] Stop using "yesterday's No. 1 single-day main-force net inflow" as the primary basis for ranking branches. Today's 8 comparisons (semiconductor equipment / semiconductor materials / components / communications equipment / Innolight / electronics / digital chip design / printed circuit boards) all reversed or sharply converged, without a single exception. Switch to: 2-3 consecutive days of same-direction net inflow, or an inflection point where outflows converge; a single-day extreme can only be a "candidate pending verification" and must not go straight into the top slot.
  2. [Structure, keep] Separating "branch ranking" from "stock ranking" is right and was proven effective today (branch wrong, stock right, with 甘李药业 Gan & Lee 603087 at limit-up). But add one rule: when branch ranking and stock ranking conflict, write the conflict into the conclusion rather than letting branch ranking determine the composition of the recommendation list — 9 of today's 14 recommendations came from the branch that was called wrong.
  3. [Weighting, should be added] The pre-market issue's comparative advantage is in exclusion, not selection. The Pass list was 72.2% correct, the recommendation list hit 21.4%. All three Pass tests — company clarification announcements (先导基电 Xiandao Jidian 600641 −5.64%), deferred revenue (富维股份 FAW Fuwei 600742 0.00%), and loss-making stocks / core leaders not following (power grid equipment across the board) — were again validated today. Recommendation: make the "not recommended to chase today" section thicker and give more explicit exclusion grades.
  4. [Process, plug the gap] Every item in the news overview table must go through the scoring table. 洁美科技 (Jiemei Technology, 002859) hit limit-up today, and its acquisition announcement had been sitting on line 14 of §1 of the pre-market issue since last night — news that made it into the news table but not into the scoring table is news that was never read.
  5. [New items pending verification today (answers needed tomorrow morning)]
    • Can passive components / MLCC main-force funds post net inflow for a second straight day (today +RMB 2.084 billion, sample 1);
    • Can communications network equipment & components post net inflow for a second straight day (today +RMB 3.435 billion, sample 1);
    • Will the −RMB 13.986 billion outflow in non-ferrous metals converge;
    • Is 百花医药 (Baihua Pharmaceutical, 600721), the pharma ladder's highest board, still standing.
  6. [Event calendar for tomorrow]
    • US July CPI: released at 20:30 Beijing time on August 12 (market expects 3.4% headline year-on-year, 2.5% core) — today is a wait-and-see window ahead of the data, and tomorrow's session is still ahead of it;
    • 宇树科技 (Unitree Robotics, 688836, STAR Market) payment date August 12, with listing expected in late August, which will divert funds from the humanoid robot sector;
    • Applied Materials (AMAT) earnings on August 13, a two-way risk for semiconductor equipment — but after the equipment sector's funds turned to outflow, the weight on this catalyst should be reduced;
    • Suspension tracking: 爱丽家居 (Aili Home, 603221) suspended pending verification, 建设机械 (Shaanxi Construction Machinery, 600984) suspended for an acquisition; both need to be reassessed after resumption.

Data-Fetch and Failure Log (not sent to clients)

  • East Money's main site push2.eastmoney.com was again unreachable from this machine (RemoteDisconnected), and akshare.stock_zh_index_spot_em() / stock_zh_index_daily_em() all failed. Continued to use the workaround found in the 8/11 pre-market run: indices, the full-market snapshot and sector fund flows all go through push2delay.eastmoney.com, which returns 200. This finding has held for two consecutive trading days; recommend hard-coding it into the data-fetch scripts under work/.
  • push2delay's pz parameter is effectively capped at 100 (passing pz=200 still returns only 100 rows). The first full-market pull got only 2900 rows (mistaken for the total); paging through 59 pages was needed to get the full 5894 rows. The same applies to the sector list: the first pull got only the first 100 sectors, which made the tail of the "biggest decliners" list all positive numbers — this is a trap that silently produces wrong conclusions (it would make you think "there were no declining sectors today"). Changed to page through to the full count by total.
  • The stock_zt_pool_em family (push2ex domain) works normally on this machine; the limit-up pool / failed-limit-up pool / limit-down pool / yesterday's limit-ups' performance today / strong-stock pool were all retrieved. On the same day push2 was down while push2ex and push2delay were alive — failures are per-subdomain, not site-wide, so in future do not conclude "East Money is down" just because one interface returns 502.
  • The Dragon-Tiger List stock_lhb_detail_em raised TypeError: 'NoneType' object is not subscriptable — this is not an interface failure; the day's list simply had not been generated at 15:31 when this issue was written (published after 18:00). Exactly consistent with the remembered fact "the Dragon-Tiger List is not published until 18:00," so no retries were wasted this time. To get the Dragon-Tiger List, the post-close recap schedule would have to be pushed back to after 18:10.
  • N 超纯 (N Chaochun, 301717) contaminating sector statistics — the single most important finding of this run. The semiconductor equipment sector's apparent main-force flow of −RMB 465 million looked like only a mild outflow; pulling the constituents one by one revealed that the new listing N 超纯 was +662.24% on its first day with main-force +RMB 2.355 billion, and excluding it, the sector's true net outflow was −RMB 2.819 billion, a 6x difference in magnitude. Quoting the sector aggregate directly would have seriously weakened today's core conclusion ("the equipment main line is falsified"). Lesson: sector-level fund flows cannot be used directly on a day with a new listing; the constituents must be checked one by one. The same applies to the other new listing that day, N 国仪-U (N Guoyi-U, 688828), at +RMB 1.341 billion.
  • The basis trap in limit-up / limit-down counts: computing from the full-market snapshot gives 71 limit-ups (including 10 ST and 2 BSE names), while the East Money limit-up pool gives 58 (excluding ST). Comparing 71 against the "103 limit-ups on 8/10" quoted in the pre-market issue would produce the wrong conclusion of "only a 31% decline"; actually pulling 8/10 from the East Money pool gives 99 names (and its 87.6% seal rate matches the pre-market quote exactly), making the same-basis decline −41%. The whole issue has been standardised on the East Money pool basis, with the difference between the two bases stated explicitly in the main text.
  • The limit-down pool has only 1 entry (北京科锐 Beijing Creative Distribution Automation, 002350), whereas the full-basis snapshot has 10 limit-downs (including 5 ST names). The East Money limit-down pool's basis is extremely narrow, so it must not be used to say "only 1 stock hit limit-down today"; the main text uses both bases.
  • Northbound funds: no call attempted. Based on existing knowledge — since 2024-08-19 Stock Connect has stopped disclosing daily net buy/sell amounts, and the interface silently returns 0.0 or the quota cap (RMB 42 billion) — calling it would only manufacture a plausible-looking fake number. The main text instead states explicitly to clients that "this indicator is no longer disclosed," which is more valuable than leaving a blank.
  • Today's 8/10→8/11 fund-flow comparison table uses the push2delay 8/10 data fetched by the pre-market issue itself, same source and same basis as today's, so the two can be subtracted directly. The pre-market issue had noted that its 8/10 fund figures differ from those quoted in the 8/10 recap (different snapshot basis); this issue uses only the push2delay series throughout and does not mix them.
  • Not obtained / not adopted:
    • the 8/11 Dragon-Tiger List (a scheduling issue, not a failure);
    • a new catalyst today for the optical-module direction — searches returned only reports of the FCC ban rumour from 8/5-8/6, and no industry news dated 8/11 was found; the main text explicitly labels "recovery after rumour digestion" as an inference rather than a conclusion;
    • a unified catalyst for the 7 auto-parts limit-ups — not obtained; the main text makes no causal attribution;
    • a same-day catalyst for Taiji Industry's limit-up today — searches returned only June–July reports, so the main text states only its business's objective connection to the memory chain (海太半导体 Hitech Semiconductor / 十一科技 Shiyi Technology), and does not treat a July catalyst as today's catalyst.
  • One misquote actively avoided: a search result claiming "STAR 50 closed at 2012.30" differs hugely from this machine's reading of 1709.50; after checking, it was judged to refer to a different index (something like the STAR Market Composite), so that figure was not adopted, and STAR 50 throughout this issue uses the push2delay reading for 000688 (previous close 1737.77 → close 1709.50, −1.63%), matching the Sina closing commentary's −1.63% exactly — cross-verification passed.

⚠️ Risk warning: this recap is post-close information review and observation only and does not constitute investment advice. Data may differ in timeliness or basis; please refer to exchange and company disclosures, and do not use this directly as a basis for trading.

Sources2

Every external link cited in the body, numbered in order of appearance. · 2 domains

  1. 1Sina closing commentaryfinance.sina.com.cn
  2. 2JRJstock.jrj.com.cn